19 September 2019

1) The Federal Reserved voted for a quarter percent drop in the interest rate, bringing the ire of President Trump in a tweet, complaining the Feds lack the guts and vision to cut more. But the board surprised everyone by its divided vote, three of the members voted against a policy decision, while seven voted for it. This is considered an indication of how uncertain things are and just what the economic future holds. In response, the stock markets fell over the news of just a quarter percent rate reduction.

2) Some fear that parallels in the market signal the coming of another recession. These parallels include an inverted yield curve with the stock markets making new highs in July, followed by a correction in August, then a rally in early September. Additionally, growth is slowing. These same signs occurred in 2007 prior to sliding into a sever recession. All that is needed is a trigger such as the world oil supply.

3) As a result of the UAW (United Auto Workers) strike, GM (General Motors) announced 1,300 layoffs in their Oshawa plant in Canada. This is because GM plants in the US are shut down and unable to deliver needed parts and assemblies to the Canadian plant. This shows that the strike is spreading to other units of the automakers business.

4) Stock market closings for – 18 SEP 19:

Dow             27,147.08         up    36.28
Nasdaq          8,177.39    down      8.62
S&P 500         3,006.73          up      1.03

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.79%

Oil:    $58.25

1 August 2019

1) General Electric suffered a loss last quarter despite two previous profitable quarters, a result of the restructuring cost of its electric power division and the grounding of Boeing’s 737 MAX. GE provides the jet engines used on the 737, which Boeing has reduced production of. The grounding of Boeing has drained off more cash than expected, but General Electric forecast a profitable year for 2019.

2) President Trump has fulfilled his campaign promise to lower drug prices by creating a pathway to allow Americans to legally and safely import lower cost prescription drugs from Canada. This reverses the opposition from federal health authorities, despite the public outcry over high prices for drugs in America. It’s uncertain when imports can start as the plan has to go through the time consuming regulatory approval and possible court challenges from drug makers. The opening of the door for cheaper drugs and keeping it open still faces an up hill battle with the political organizations of the pharmaceutical industry.

3) In an effort to keep the American economy on track, the Federal Reserve has reduced the benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to about 2.25%. This is a modest and widely expected move intended to keep the economy healthy in face of the trade war with China and the slowing economic growth overseas. In addition, the feds signaled that the cental bank is ready to make more cuts to stimulate the economy if necessary. A higher interest rate makes for a stronger dollar, a disadvantage for international trade. Wall Street anticipates as many as three more cuts this year, while in addition to the rate reduction, the feds will stop selling off assets this August, two months earlier than expected.

4) Stock market closings for – 31 JUL 19:

Dow             26,864.27    down    333.75
Nasdaq           8,175.42    down      98.19
S&P 500          2,980.38    down      32.80

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.02%

Oil:    down   at    $57.90

19 June 2019

1) The pizza giant Domino’s will test pizza delivery using fully autonomous vehicles in Houston. Domino’s has been exploring this technology for the last two years with robot cars that had standby drivers for safety, but these robots will be human free. The Silicon Valley startup Nuro, who has been working with the grocery chain Kroger testing home delivery service, will provide the automobiles. Customers will be able to make orders via their smart phones, track progress of the cars, then use their smart phone to unlock the robot car to obtain their pizza.

2) Boeing Aircraft Co., the manufacture of the grounded 737 MAX, announce they have not received one single order for new airliners at the Paris air show. Their rival Airbus recorded orders and options for 123 new planes. Overall orders for this year’s Paris air show is expected to be the lowest since 2016, with emphasis on defense spending.

3) President Trump announced he will meet with China’s Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit, raising hopes of resumption of Chinese-American trade talks and a deal which will resolve the current trade war. The President says he will have extended meetings next week at the G-20 conference in Japan. News of the meeting coupled with expectations of near future cuts in the interest rates boost confidence in the markets.

4) Stock market closings for- 18 JUN 19 Stocks rally on news of US-China trade talks.

Dow                    26,465.54    up    353.01
Nasdaq                 7,953.88    up    108.86
S&P 500                2,917.75    up      28.08

10 Year Yield:     down   at    2.06%

Oil:    up   at    $53.97

18 June 2019

1) Traditional retail stores, who have been suffering the ravages of e-commerce, are worried about another coming blow. The new tariffs on Chinese imports, which President Trump threatens to impost, could have a disastrous effect on retailers such as Walmart and Target. These next round of tariffs will be specific to consumer goods, which these retailers sell, and will start to force price increases and so most likely will result in decline of sales revenue.

2) While President Trump has been pressing for a cut in the interest rate, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to defer and leave the interest rates unchanged. However, the board may possibly lay the groundwork for a rate cut later this year. While the economic outlook has become less clear, there still isn’t sufficient indication of a slow down to warrant cutting interest rates yet.

3) The Pfizer pharmaceutical company is buying Array BioPharma for $10.6 billion dollars for a price 62% above the company’s closing price this last Friday. Pfizer will gain medical technology for new drugs to treat cancer that limit or suppress the effects of chemotherapy. The drugs target a mutation that’s found across many tumor types in those patients who carry the mutation. Two of Array BioPharma drugs have been FDA approved for use in advanced melanoma. There are other drugs which are in the development pipeline.

4) Stock market closings for- 17 JUN 19:

Dow               26,112.53    up    22.92
Nasdaq             7,845.02    up    48.37
S&P 500            2,889.67    up      2.69

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.09%

Oil:    down   at    $51.90

7 January 2019

1) The chairman for the Federal Reserve suggested that the interest rate may not be raised this year, which stimulated the markets.

2) The December unemployment rose to 3.9% with 312,000 jobs added, which may serve to raise interest rates. This news also stimulated the markets.

3) Apple faces partial ban of their phones in Germany, the German courts ordering bans on some models of Apple phones because of patent infringement disputes for energy saving chips.

4) 4 JAN 19 Stock market closings:

Dow           23,433.16 up 746.94
Nasdaq      6,738.86     up   275.35
S&P 500   2,531.94     up          84.05

10 Year Yield: up at 2.66%

Oil: up at $48.31

21 December 2018

1) There are suggestions that people shouldn’t be worried about the stock market, rather they should worry about having a job with the possible weakening of economy.

2) Markets fell with the announcement of Feds raising interest rate. There are forecast of fewer raises for 2019, with four raises already having been made for 2018, with an interest rate of 2.5% at the close of the year. Amidst this is worries of a slower economy in 2019 from President Trump’s spending, the effects of the $1.5 trillion dollars tax cuts fading and global economic slowdowns.

3) Fears mount over pending government shutdown as the Congress and President grapple over the $5 billion dollar expenditure for border wall.

4) 20 DEC 18 Stock market closings:     All three market indices have lost over 10% in December.

Dow        22,859.60 down 464.06
Nasdaq               6,528.41 down        108.42
S&P 500      2,467.42        down 39.54

10 Year Yield: up at 2.79%

Oil: up at $46.36