1) Just went everyone thought the second stimulus was a done deal, President Trump has made vague threats not to pass it. The President is asking Congress to amend the bill that has passed both chambers, with Trump decrying the bill’s $600 payments and its failure to properly support small businesses. He is now urging lawmakers to boost the $600 check to $2,000 for every American earning less than $75,000 per year. Furthermore, a veto would leave the threat of a government shutdown and expiring Covid-19 protections looming over the holiday season. The President said the bill contains too many provisions unrelated to the pandemic.
2) Threats of a second stimulus bill veto was reinforced with Trump’s veto of the defense bill, in part because of the requirement for renaming bases honoring Confederates and restrictions on the executive’s ability to bring troops home from overseas. Both the House and the Senate are already making plans for a post-Christmas session during which lawmakers plan to override the veto. Congress has until noon on January 3 to do so.
3) There are emerging new signs of economic distress. With the fate of a federal aid package suddenly thrown into doubt by President Trump, economic data on Wednesday shows why the help is so desperately needed. Personal income fell in November for the second straight month, and consumer spending declined for the first time since April, with a worsening pandemic continuing to take a toll on the U.S. economy. Applications for unemployment benefits remained high last week and have risen since early November. Experts know that things are going to get worse, the question is how much more worse. Many economists view direct payments to people as among the least effective measures, because much of the money goes to households that don’t need it. Spending on restaurants and hotels fell with transportation, clothing and gasoline also in declined. The decline in spending is spilling over into the labor market, with about 869,000 people filing new claims for state jobless benefits last week. The relief bill is smaller than many economists say is needed to carry the economy through the pandemic and ensure a robust recovery.
4) Stock market closings for – 23 DEC 20:
Dow 30,129.83 up by 114.32 Nasdaq 12,771.11 down by 36.80 S&P 500 3,690.01 up by 2.75
1) Experts forecast that a rising stock market and a weak dollar will keep going hand in hand in the near future. The movements of the past month are consistent with movements between equities and the dollar observed this year, which is at its strongest level since before the global financial crisis. Additionally, the seesaw relationship between the dollar and equities is getting more intense, so a rapidly falling currency serves as fodder for stock-market bulls, who are expecting this pattern to endure for some time. Stocks saw a historic rise in November, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average logging its biggest monthly rise since January 1987, as major indexes hit all-time highs. At the same time, the dollar fell 2.3%, its worst month since a 4.2% fall in July and its worst November since 2006. A weaker dollar is often seen as supportive to equities.
2) Boeing Aircraft Co. is considering an equity sale and other ways to ease its debt burden that has soared to $61 billion this year, a result of the worst slump in aviation history. Additionally, Boeing will cut back on production of its 787 Dreamliner from six down to five planes a month by mid-2021. The company has sufficient reserves to see it through months of tumult until coronavirus vaccines are widely distributed. Boeing is prepared to speed up deliveries of 450 of its 737 MAX planes that it built but couldn’t deliver during the global grounding. Therefore undelivered aircraft are starting to stack up around Boeing’s factories and in a storage lot in the California desert, and so it will take the manufacture through 2021 to clear them from its inventory.
3) Negotiations for Britain to exit the European Union continue as the dead line nears. The fundamental differences between the two sides remain over a ‘level playing field’ of the standards the U.K. must meet to export into the bloc, how future disputes are resolved and the fishing rights for EU trawlers in U.K. waters. Ireland finds itself in a difficult place with the most to lose from a no-deal exit. Speed is now of the essence since the 27 EU member states have to unanimously support any deal. Both sides will suffer economically from a failure to secure a trade deal, but most economists think the British economy would take a greater hit. The main problem is how Britain wrests itself free of EU rules with the bloc’s insistence that no country, should get easy access to EU’s market by undercutting its high environmental and social standards.
4) Stock market closings for – 7 DEC 20:
Dow 30,069.79 down by 148.47 Nasdaq 12,519.95 up by 55.71 S&P 500 3,691.96 down by 7.16
1) Looming in the wings of the pandemic crisis is another major crisis . . . and epidemic of evictions. With the unemployment rate still more than 10% and eviction protections lapsing across America, housing experts expect millions of Americans to lose their homes in the coming months. For millions of Americans, the housing situation was already precarious before the pandemic. Many are paying large percentages of their monthly incomes toward rent, but don’t have enough to cover an unexpected expense of just a few hundred dollars. With insufficient money from unemployment, people are facing living on the streets during 100 degree plus temperatures, hurricane season and possibly freezing weather if the problem continues. This would also mean increased exposure to the Convid-19 virus.
2) A bright spot in the economy is that retail sales rose again for the second straight month as shoppers slowly trickle back into stores. But with conronavirus cases on the rise, this could be short lived. Sales increased 7.5% for June, from May, better than the 5% estimated by economists. Sales were driven by clothing, electronics and appliances as well as home furnishing. Still, foot traffic through stores is way down, people coming in with specific items to consider buying instead of just browsing. So far this year, 4,000 stores are closing permanently with as many as 25,000 expected by the end of the year. Last year, there were 9,302 store closing.
3) The traditional investing axiom of 60/40 portfolios is coming into question. This is the mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds, which is generally considered the best risk minimizing strategy for individuals to use in building their fortune. But with Treasury yields now hovering around zero, and expected to stay there for years, those gains are in doubt. For decades, this strategy has given the best returns with the least risk in times of volatile markets. Consequently, investors are scrutinizing the strategy as maybe out of date in a changing economy.
4) Stock market closings for – 16 JUL 20:
Dow 26,734.71 down 135.39 Nasdaq 10,473.83 down 76.66 S&P 500 3,215.57 down 10.99
The jobless claims reports coming in around 255k-256k has sparked analyst reactions that obviously they did not foresee. Jobless claims continue to fall, as stronger working economy continues to rise. These indications point to a strengthing job market.
Jobless claims hit a 42 year low last week and improvements seem to be scalable as we approach the holiday season, starting next month. As the job market improves so do the economy and common trend that consistently is proactive amongst each other. The fewer claims that are presented the better the global markets and economy are strengthened, helping everyday working people.
In today’s economy people tend to be saving a whole of money, and economists are stating that this is not expected. When people save money, then there is no spending to assist in bolstering the economy; meaning there is even less demand for goods and services, which then also implicates stagnation.
Recently people are not spending as much but saving more, and this happens to be throwing economists through a “whirlwind”. People in a good economy should be spending according to economists, and when this is not happening, theories and concepts are sort of disproven to an extent. People are currently saving more money, even though interest rates are at the lowest that they have been for decades.
Borrowers are benefactors of low interest rates (theoretically), so spending should be indicative; this seems not to be the case in 2015. Currently, government and business entities are benefiting from low interest rates as opposed to current borrowers. Something seems to be brewing, but exactly what it is????? Is the definitive question…-SB
The Nigerian Central Bank has placed currency traders in a tough position. As the Nigerian currency (Naira) slides, the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that currency traders will have to buy or sell their position in the Naira within the next couple of days, or be forced to sell it at the rate set forth by the Central Bank. CBN (Central Bank) has also restricted some currency trading in efforts to boost the Naira. Tough sanctions will be followed if noone adheres to the rules set by the CBN (Central Bank of Nigeria) as well.
Many currency traders, analysts, researchers and speculaters are seething to the tune of the declination fo the Naira, betting that the Naira will continue to derail against the US dollar. The Naira has been devalued to 168 to the dollar but it continues to slide none the less.
The Nigerian economy is set to grow 5.5% this year set from the revision of 6.4% previously. This revision was set by the Nigerian finance ministry led by finance minister and renowned global economist Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.