9 October 2019

1) The pizza giant Domino’s had been the darling of Wall Street, with its soaring sales, but its growth has gone stale. The company’s reported revenue and profit missed Wall Street’s forecast with its stock sagging. The same-store sales grew just 2.4% compared with last years 6.3%. Domino’s operates in 85 countries with 10,000 stores outside of the U.S., which generate half of its revenues.

2) Boeing aircraft has got its first 737 MAX order since the crashes forced grounding of all 737 MAX aircraft. Boeing’s net order tally, including cancellations, was a negative 84 for the first nine months of 2019. In addition, Southwest Airlines’ pilots union has filed a law suit against Boeing for damages caused by the prolonged grounding of its 737 MAX, claiming loss of pay to its pilot from canceled flights and seeing $115 million dollars in compensation.

3) Duke University professor Campbell Harvey, the father of the yield curve and pioneer of the economic forecasting model, says to prepare for a recession. He based his prediction on inverted curves, which happen when short term Treasury yields are higher than those with longer duration, which his research indicates the coming of a recession.

4) Stock market closings for – 8 OCT 19:

Dow                     26,164.04    down    313.98
Nasdaq                  7,823.78    down    132.52
S&P 500                 2,893.06    down      45.73

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.54%

Oil:    down   at    $52.57

21 August 2019

1) The Dollar has hit its highest value for 2019, as measured by the Bloomberg Dollar Index. This is when President Trump wants the Dollar value lowered to position America better in international trade. The President claims that the Dollar is so strong now, that it is hurting other parts of the world. He is even suggesting that the U.S. should actually weaken the Dollar, although this could turn the trade conflict into a currency war. Presently, the U.S. economy is doing much better than global peers, so it is unlikely to deteriorate faster than other countries and therefore is unlikely for the Dollar to weaken on its own accord.

2) The millennials are turning away from the large elaborate houses of the baby boomers in the sun belt. Houses built before 2012 are being sold at a deep discount, sometimes as much as a half, so owners are not making a profit. Large homes are receiving 12% to 45% fewer views on the internet and are selling up to 73% slower.

3) America’s steel giant, U.S. Steel announced layoffs of hundreds of its workers in Michigan. The layoffs are expected to be temporary because of a halt in production at the Michigan facility, while also idling two blast furnaces. The reason for production cutbacks is lower steel prices and softening demand. The layoffs are anticipated to last about six months. U.S. Steel’s stock has dropped 73% since March of 2018.

4) Stock market closings for – 20 AUG 19:

Dow              25,962.44    down    173.35
Nasdaq           7,948.56    down      54.25
S&P 500          2,900.51    down      23.14

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.56%

Oil:    down   at    $56.12

9 August 2019

1) Mexico has become America’s largest trading partner as a result of the U.S. – China trade war. For the first half of 2019, trade between America and Mexico was $309 billion dollars worth of goods, just over 15% of all U.S. trade. In comparison, trade with Canada was $306 billion dollars and China at $271 billion dollars. Trade with Mexico has been steadily rising for several decades, while trade with Canada has historically been high it’s always been flat.

2) A battle may be developing between Amazon and FedEx over handling packages, because of surging e-commerce shipments. With their ground delivery deal ending, FedEx is deepening its pullback from Amazon. The ending of two delivery contracts with Amazon means FedEx will have to seek out new major customers for lost sales while Amazon will now depend more on the U.S. Postal Service and UPS. FedEx is seeking to serve major e-commerce companies such as WalMart as the one-day delivery service for e-commerce heats up.

3) Lift, the internet based ride sharing rival to Uber may become profitable sooner than anyone had predicted. It’s growth is accelerating faster than anticipated, which clears the path to profitability. Some are speculating that 2019 might be Lift’s ‘peak loss’ year with losses being less than 2018. Wall Street is acting positive over the news with Lift’s stock rising from an overnight boost of 4%.

4) Stock market closings for – 9 AUG 19:

Dow                26,378.19    up    371.12
Nasdaq              8,039.16    up    176.33
S&P 500             2,938.09    up      54.11

10 Year Yield:    up   at    1.72%

Oil:    up   at    $52.81

2 August 2019

1) Goldman Sachs, the investment bank, is starting a three year, $100 million dollar plan to overhaul its stock trading platform. The project, which is named Atlas, is aimed at the world’s largest quant hedge funds with the intent of shaving milliseconds off trades. The quantitative hedge fund investment has become a cutthroat business as other firms have been winning a larger share of a shrinking pie, and Goldman Sachs realizes they have been falling behind the technology race. They must make a strong effort to push forward the technology of electronic trading to maintain their market position.

2) As trade talks continue in Shanghai between China and America, President Trump has imposed an additional 10% tariff on $300 billion dollars worth of Chinese imports. These imports are due to start on the first of September. This does not include the $250 billion dollars already tariffed at 25%. The President blames the Chinese for imposing the tariff, saying China is not following through their promise to buy more American agricultural products and not doing more to stem sales of synthetic opioid fentanyl.

3) Lowe’s, the home improvement retailer, has told thousands of its workers that their jobs are being eliminated. The company will out source the jobs of maintenance and assembly workers to third party companies. These workers assembly products such as wheelbarrows and grills, claiming this will allow store associates to spend more time on the sales floor serving customers. Lowe’s employs 190,000 full time and 110,000 part time workers.

4) Stock market closings for – 1 AUG 19:

Dow           26,583.42    down    280.85
Nasdaq         8,111.12    down      64.30
S&P 500        2,953.56    down      26.82

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.89%

Oil:    up   at    $54.49

30 July 2019

1) The once high flying German Deutsche Bank has run aground rapidly slashing jobs and losing a ton of money. Stock for Germany’s biggest lender is trading at a near all time low. This is a result of poor management and failing to fully clean up its crisis era balance sheet. The banks restructuring efforts have fell short coupled with countless legal black eyes that have all contributed to the bank’s financial woes.

2) The pharmaceutical companies Pfizer and Mylan have announced they are combining to create a global powerhouse in the low price drug market. Pfizer will gain most control of the company with 57% ownership, with Mylan shareholders owning the rest. Both companies lost exclusive manufacture rights from patent expirations, that were big money makers for the companies. Mylan, is the manufacturer of the emergency treatment for allergic reactions, the EpiPen. Mylan has recently been in the news for raising the price of EpiPens by 400%.

3) J.C. Penney, the 117 year old department store chain, is at risk of being de-listed from the New York Stock Exchange. To counter its downward spiral, the company has hired advisers to explore debt restructuring. Penney has $4 billion dollars in debt coming due in the next few years, while its revenues are increasingly being lost to sales on the internet and niche brands. Revenue has fallen over the last three years. The retail giant Sears has suffered similar troubles.

4) Stock market closings for – 29 JUL 19:

Dow                 27,221.35        up   28.90
Nasdaq               8,293.33   down   36.88
S&P 500              3,020.97   down     4.89

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.06%

Oil:    up   at    $57.13

28 June 2019

1) The Ford Motor company will eliminate 20% of its European workforce in a sweeping move to overhaul the manufacture’s falling sales. This will entail reducing its manufacturing facilities from 24 down to 18, with England, Germany and Russia the hardest hit. About 12,000 regular, staff and workers at joint ventures will be effected. Predicted deliveries for automobiles is down, as a result of Britain’s uncertainty from Brexit, with Ford’s European sales dropping 8.3% in May.

2) The crypto-currency Bitcoin having moved up over the last eighteen months to $14,000, suddenly drop 16%, down to $11,000. Bitcoin’s all time high was $20,000 reached in December of 2017, and is noted for it’s wild deviations of price over the last few years. Facebook just announced they are coming out with their own crypto-currency which may be a factor in Bitcoin’s sudden drop.

3) The Federal Aviation Administration has announced more safety concerns with Boeing’s 737 MAX just as the aircraft is being evaluated for software fixes designed to correct computer flight control systems. This system was responsible for two recent crashes with the death of all passengers and crew. Boeing’s stock dropped 3% Thursday as a result of added concerns for its star product, which the FAA is now evaluating software fixes with the expectations of finally getting its airliners airborne again. Boeing is presently parking completed 737 MAX aircraft in its car parking lots waiting for approval so they can make deliveries.

4) Stock market closings for- 27 JUN 19:

Dow           26,526.58    down    10.24
Nasdaq       7,967.76         up     57.79
S&P 500      2,924.92         up      11.14

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.00%

Oil:     down   at    $59.28

21 May 19

1 ) The stock for electric auto maker Tesla fell today as the car maker faces an uphill battle to become profitable in the second half of the year. Delivery of its new cars are way down from sales forecast, with Tesla stock closing down 2.7%, the lowest in two and a half years. Additionally, Tesla may be facing severe financial consequences from a fatal crash involving their Autopilot system.

2) The fallout from Huawei being blacklisted in America has caused the stock market to fall. Huawei uses electronic components in their product line, high technology parts that can’t be procured from other vendors. The down side is these vendors have significant sales from Hauwei, which lowers their revenues.

3) The trade wars with China is threatening to close as many as 12,000 stores in America this next year. For the last two years, the closing of retail stores in America had been accelerating before the trade war started, the result of falling store traffic. Tariffs would cause price increases at a time when consumers are increasingly reluctant to spend their money. All ready, the closure of 6,400 retail stores have been announced.

4) 20 MAY 19 Stock market closings:

Dow              25,679.90    down     84.10
Nasdaq          7,702.38    down   113.91
S&P 500         2,840.23    down      19.30

Year Yield:    up   at    2.42%

Oil:   up  at  $63.30

1 April 2019

1) Britain’s Prime Minster’s third try to get her Brexit plan voted through Parliament has failed, even though it was a stripped down version. This time the vote was by the narrowest margin. It’s now two weeks remaining to draw up a new plan and try again before the crash out. There is growing dissatisfaction with British people over Brexit with increasing numbers of demonstrations for and against. Also, there are growing calls for a general election, with the Labor party apparently using the Brexit issue to force a general election.

2) Lyft, the competitor to Uber, goes public with stock going for about $10 more than anticipated. Initially priced at $72, the stock opened at $87.24 per share and closed 8.7% higher. The company anticipates to raise $29 billion dollars in it’s offering. The stock is a two tier stock with one tier having one vote per share and the other having 20 votes per share.

3) 29 MAR 2019 Stock market closings:

Dow         25,928.68    up    211.22
Nasdaq     7,729.32    up      60.15
S&P 500     2,834.40    up     18.96

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.41%

Oil:    up   at    $60.18

18 March 2019

1) A second crash of a new Boeing 737 MAX 8 airliner, in just months, is raising doubts about its safety. Speaker Pelosi is calling on Boeing to ground all 737 MAX 8 airliners. The airliner was one in Ethiopia’s airline fleet, which like the first one, crashed just after takeoff killing all onboard. Reportedly, one of the Ethiopian pilots had only 200 hours experience, while American pilots typically average about 1,500 hours. In America 200 hours is only enough to qualify for a commercial license, but doesn’t allow a pilot to fly aircraft over 12,500 pounds (airliners). General rule – that at 300 hours a pilot is considered most dangerous and overconfident, and so gets into trouble, but doesn’t have the experience to get out of trouble.

2) The sudden questions of the Boeing’s 737 MAX 8 airlines caused Boeing’s stock to drop 9%. But even with a 9% drop in Boeing stock, the rise in tech stocks pushed the overall stock markets up.

3) Facebook is facing ever increasing series of problems starting with Senator Elizabeth Warren’s proposal to break up the company, then came Facebook’s longest outage of network and services. Followed by news of a criminal investigation into data agreements with other companies, then two of Facebook’s top executives left the company. Finally, the live movies of the New Zealand’s shooting massacre focusing the growing problem of hate on social media.

4) 15 MAR 19 Stock market closings:

Dow           25,848.87    up    138.93
Nasdaq       7,688.53    up      57.62
S&P 500      2,822.48    up      14.00

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.59%

Oil:    down   at    $58.39

FBI PROBE LATEST REVELATION OF HILLARY CLINTON EMAILS: SENDS MARKETS IN A TAILSPIN!!!!!!!!!!!!

hillary-clinton-fbi-email-scandal

By: Economic & Finance Report

The stock market reacted wildly Friday October 28, 2016. New revelations on Secretary Hillary Clinton’s emails, sent the markets on a roller coaster Friday. FBI Director James Comey announced to Congress that the FBI would be investigating more leaked emails; which  were discovered when investigating former Congressman Anthony Weiner (Huma Abedin’s separated and estranged husband).

The emails are said to be in the tens of thousands and the FBI is staking the lead in the investigation. Director Comey has indicated he does not  know how long the investigation will take and if there is any fraudulent activity within regards to the email, what is noticed is that the financial markets did not react well to the news at all.

All markets (Dow, S&P, Nasdaq, & Crude) ended in red by the end of the trading day.  More info to be revealed hopefully sooner then later….. TO BE CONTINUED….-SB