9 October 2019

1) The pizza giant Domino’s had been the darling of Wall Street, with its soaring sales, but its growth has gone stale. The company’s reported revenue and profit missed Wall Street’s forecast with its stock sagging. The same-store sales grew just 2.4% compared with last years 6.3%. Domino’s operates in 85 countries with 10,000 stores outside of the U.S., which generate half of its revenues.

2) Boeing aircraft has got its first 737 MAX order since the crashes forced grounding of all 737 MAX aircraft. Boeing’s net order tally, including cancellations, was a negative 84 for the first nine months of 2019. In addition, Southwest Airlines’ pilots union has filed a law suit against Boeing for damages caused by the prolonged grounding of its 737 MAX, claiming loss of pay to its pilot from canceled flights and seeing $115 million dollars in compensation.

3) Duke University professor Campbell Harvey, the father of the yield curve and pioneer of the economic forecasting model, says to prepare for a recession. He based his prediction on inverted curves, which happen when short term Treasury yields are higher than those with longer duration, which his research indicates the coming of a recession.

4) Stock market closings for – 8 OCT 19:

Dow                     26,164.04    down    313.98
Nasdaq                  7,823.78    down    132.52
S&P 500                 2,893.06    down      45.73

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.54%

Oil:    down   at    $52.57

8 August 2019

1) Disney, the owner of the Star Wars franchise rights, is finding that today’s kids are not as interested in Star Wars as previous generations have been. While the last of the trilogies have turned a profit, they have not met the success of previous movies. Purchased from Lucasfilm Ltd in 2012 for $4.05 billion dollars, Disney is worried about the long term profitability of the franchise. It’s newly opened attraction Star Wars theme-park hasn’t meet expectations, indicated the young are not entranced by the intergalactic saga.

2) Gold continues to increase in value as more jittery investors flee traditional havens for money, to the supposed safety of gold ownership. With gold now at $1,500 per ounce, it is outperforming stocks this year. Concerns over the world economy from uncertainty of the U.S. and China trade war, China’s currency, oil and repercussions from political hot spots across the world have all combined to form a economic climate of fear and uncertainty. All foretell of a global slow down in growth, and as always the case, gold provides safety better than money in economic hard times.

3) A federal judge has ordered litigation over defective General Motors ignition switches to be narrowed in claims by owners. Owners claimed they lost value in their vehicles because of the defect, but the judge ruled the owners have failed to show the value of their vehicles has declined as a result of the defect. Instead, damages could only be measured by costs to repair defective vehicles, which is zero if GM paid for repairs. This defect is linked to 124 deaths.

4) Stock market closings for – 7 AUG 19:

Dow             26,007.07    down    22.45
Nasdaq           7,862.83          up    29.56
S&P 500          2,883.98          up       2.21

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.68%

Oil:    up   at    $52.29

1 August 2019

1) General Electric suffered a loss last quarter despite two previous profitable quarters, a result of the restructuring cost of its electric power division and the grounding of Boeing’s 737 MAX. GE provides the jet engines used on the 737, which Boeing has reduced production of. The grounding of Boeing has drained off more cash than expected, but General Electric forecast a profitable year for 2019.

2) President Trump has fulfilled his campaign promise to lower drug prices by creating a pathway to allow Americans to legally and safely import lower cost prescription drugs from Canada. This reverses the opposition from federal health authorities, despite the public outcry over high prices for drugs in America. It’s uncertain when imports can start as the plan has to go through the time consuming regulatory approval and possible court challenges from drug makers. The opening of the door for cheaper drugs and keeping it open still faces an up hill battle with the political organizations of the pharmaceutical industry.

3) In an effort to keep the American economy on track, the Federal Reserve has reduced the benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to about 2.25%. This is a modest and widely expected move intended to keep the economy healthy in face of the trade war with China and the slowing economic growth overseas. In addition, the feds signaled that the cental bank is ready to make more cuts to stimulate the economy if necessary. A higher interest rate makes for a stronger dollar, a disadvantage for international trade. Wall Street anticipates as many as three more cuts this year, while in addition to the rate reduction, the feds will stop selling off assets this August, two months earlier than expected.

4) Stock market closings for – 31 JUL 19:

Dow             26,864.27    down    333.75
Nasdaq           8,175.42    down      98.19
S&P 500          2,980.38    down      32.80

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.02%

Oil:    down   at    $57.90

20 March 2019

1) FedEx stock dropped as it missed it estimates for quarterly profit for the second time. FedEx is considered by many to be a bellwether for the global economy and their forecast for global trade growth proved to overly optimistic.

2) Newark New Jersey plans to implement a Basic Universal Income despite other countries who have tried this social plan and have abandoned it. Canada and Finland have found it unworkable and does not have any apparent benefits. Newark has not proposed any means to fund the program.

3) The on going college admission scandal is building resentment among the Z-generation over the special standing and access given to fellow kids because their parents have exceptional monetary means. Their parents are buying entry to ivy league colleges thereby denying access by other students who have actual qualifications for entry.

4) 19 MAR 19 Stock market closings:

Dow          25,887.38     down     26.72
Nasdaq       7,723.95           up       9.47
S&P 500      2,832.57      down       0.37

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.61%

Oil:      up   at      $59.08

17 January 2019

1) European markets remain stable despite the vote to reject the Brexit plan.

2) Prime Minister May narrowly survived a no confidence vote. Fears continue of economic chaos if Britain does a ‘no-deal’ exit in ten weeks.

3) Ford Motor Company forecasts a weaker than expected forth quarter making for uncertainty in 2019. Ford is the top seller in Britain, so a no-deal Brexit could be harmful for the motor company. Additionally, Ford hasn’t provided a profit forecast for 2019.

4) 16 JAN 19     Stock market closings:

Dow                  24,207.16    up   141.57
Nasdaq               7,034.69    up     10.86
S&P 500              2,616.10    up       5.80

10 Year Yield:   up   at    2.73%

Oil:   unchanged   at   $52.31

PORTFOLIO & FUND MANAGERS TAKE RISK…. TO PROFIT…..

 

portfolio manager pic

By: ECONOMIC & FINANCE REPORT

Various fund and portfolio managers have to take risk to get ahead in this ever growing investing markets, especially as the new year begins in 2015.  There are a few research studies floating about; that indicate that portfolio managers, fund managers, asset allocation managers and other finance managers, lag way behind the money markets when certain investment initiatives are not in place. Overall their records perform unusually low without taking the necessary risk  to attain net profit gains.

Managers that do not take the necessary risks in diversifying their portfolios to allocate the funds in various risk allocations, lose the incentives to attain profit, then allowing them to underperform in other aspects of their trading accounts and portfolios. At the end of it all, instituting monitored risk or calculated risk is more appropriate in establishing decent results for clients portfolios.

-SB