The Central Bank of China instituted key interest rate reforms on Saturday, August 17, 2019. The China’s Central Bank did this to help companies and corporations with borrowing costs.
China has been suffering from the trade war with the US. The lower interest rates could help companies with lowering their borrowing costs. The central bank will be trying to improve thier interest rates, which will then assist these companies in borrowing costs that would be minimal.
China’s State Council indicated they want the country to focus on market based reformation, which will then lower real interest rates significantly. -SB
1) Fears are growing that the world is moving towards an economic crisis, based on signs from Washington and Wall Street, starting with President Trump’s retreat from adding new tariffs. The stock market rose over the news meaning Christmas had been saved for this year’s sales. But the bond market wasn’t as optimistic, the rates dropping indicating a lack of confidence in the future economy. Called an inverted yield curve, it signals investors expect a weak growth and lower inflation over the years.
2) The troubling signals from the bond market caused the stock markets to drop, with the Dow dropping 800 points to erase all of Tuesdays gains. Worried about the state of the economy, investors are rushing to long term safe haven assets, pushing the yield on 30 year Treasury bonds to a new record low. The Cboe Volatility Index jumped to a high of 22.
3) The financial problems plaguing Boeing aircraft from the 737 MAX grounding may delay or even cancel Boeing’s next airliner design, the 797. A mid-size airplane, the aviation industry expected Boeing would go ahead with a new design, but the sever loses from the 737 MAX are now casting doubt on that happening, especially if the world economy does deteriorate. The 797 is expected to be a long range jet seating about 250 passengers. The design would make extensive use of light weight composites giving good fuel economy and range. Additionally, engineering resources are being pulled away from the 797 to work the 737 MAX problem.
4) Stock market closings for – 14 AUG 19:
Dow 25,479.42 down 800.49 Nasdaq 7,773.94 down 242.42 S&P 500 2,840.60 down 85.72
1) There are fears that the deepening China and American trade war may severely effect the fragile oil market. The tariffs increases has already send oil prices spiraling down over concerns of a sever global economic slowdown or recession. But China could use oil as an economic weapon by purchasing vast quantities of oil from Iran thus driving oil prices down from $60 to as low as $40 while also undermining President Trump’s foreign policy.
2) Gold, always a panic investment from economic fears, is again attracting investors with its prices pushing upward. With the devaluation of the Chinese money and threats that the U.S. might follow suit, investors are worried about the value of other monies sliding down. Fears of what will happen to the Euro and British Pound with a ‘no deal’ exit, coupled with European government bonds rates that are so low, is further attracting investors to gold. Hence, investors are migrating to the traditional safe heaven of gold.
3) In an attempt to further push into the Nordic markets, payment processor Mastercard Inc will buy the majority of the corporate services businesses of Scandinavian payments group Nets. The financial technology sector is consolidating fast as more people switch from cash to digital payments, both on line and on the street. The $3.19 billion dollar deal gives Mastercard further clearing and instant payment services plus e-billing solutions.
4) Stock market closings for – 6 AUG 19:
Dow 26,029.52 up 311.78 Nasdaq 7,833.26 up 107.23 S&P 500 2,881.77 up 37.03
1) Technology displacement is graphically illustrated by the print news media with over 2,000 newspapers having closed in the last fifteen years. Once among the largest employers in America, new technologies have continually reduced the work force of newspapers, especially after World War II with the rapid expansion of the electronic news media. Almost all the newspapers in America have financial troubles leaving their future in doubt. The electronic news media has also suffered massive loss of jobs over the decades as new technologies allow operations with fewer people.
2) Over production of eggs has created an oversupply of the food stuff, forcing prices down until producers are losing money. Exports have been down 12% further aggravating the oversupply situation, with the average cost for a dozen eggs now $1.20, which is 26% lower than a year ago. But experts consider the price has reached its low and will soon start creeping up.
3) California’s wine industry is suffering from the trade war with China imposing a 93% tariff on American wine products. This tariff has pushed the price of wine out of reach for most of China’s population, thus drastically reducing exports. This has dropped U.S. wine exports to China by 25% in 2018 with California accounting for more than 90% of America’s wine sales overseas. China is America’s fifth largest market.
4) Stock market closings for – 23 JUL 19:
Dow 27,349.19 up 177.29 Nasdaq 8,251.40 up 47.27 S&P 500 3,005.47 up 20.44
1) Uber raised $8.1 billion in it’s IPO (Initial Public Offering), which was priced near the bottom of the range. Uber sold 180 million shares at $45 each, making its listing among the 10 largest U.S. IPOs. This gives Uber a market value of $75.5 billion dollars, however Uber is deeply unprofitable with $3.04 billion dollars in losses last year.
2) Traders wait to see if President Trump hikes tariffs today. U.S. equity futures were little changed this Thursday while traders wait for the midnight deadline when tariffs are scheduled to take effect. These tariffs will be imposed on $200 billion dollars worth of Chinese goods. Fears are that market reaction will be severe, which either way the tariffs goes.
3) The U.S. trade deficient has widened to $50 billion dollars in March, up 1.5% from February. Economists had anticipated the U.S. trade deficit to fall, but much of the increase came from higher crude imports.
4) 9 MAY 19 Stock market closings:
Dow 25,828.36 down 138.97 Nasdaq 7,910.59 down 32.73 S&P 500 2,870.72 down 8.70
1) Germany’s business outlook falters amid Brexit concerns of potential US tariffs, especially on their car exports in addition to uncertainty of the German people. Germany has the largest European economy.
2) The father of Reaganomics says it’s time to get out of the market. He cautions that the end of easy money policies, the huge deficit and a near record economic expansion are all signs of a pending market collapse.
3) Trade talks continue between China and US as tariff deadline nears causing worries of talks failing. But after meeting with his advisers and Chinese officials, President Trump has extended that deadline citing the talks are going so well. Negotiators have reached a compromise on key issues, such as China’s requirement that American companies give intellectual property and technology to do business in China, more purchases of agriculture and energy products such as liquid natural gas. But so far, there hasn’t been a signing of an official agreement.
4) 22 FEB 19 Stock market closing:
Dow 26,031.81 up 181.18 Nasdaq 7,527.54 up 67.84 S&P 500 2,792.67 up 17.79
1) Economic growth revised downwards to 3.4% for the fourth quarter.
2) De Beers, the major marketeer of diamonds, is fighting back on lab-grown diamonds. For decades De Beers has refused to sell artificial diamonds, but the widen price gap is cutting into the sales of traditional diamonds, with artificial diamonds now 42% lower. With growing sales to the millennials, De Beers has invested in a factory to produce its own artificial diamonds.
3) The Dow had the largest single day gain in history of over 1000 points, a drastic reversal of the previous consecutive days of large losses. The sudden unexpected surge is driven by the best holiday retail sales season in six years, with $850 billion dollars in Christmas sales, making it a record breaking season. Fears abound that this will be reversed in the near future because of the troubled world economies.
4) 26 DEC 18 Stock market closings: Record breaking gains.
Dow 22,878.45 up 1086.25 Nasdaq 6,554.36 up 361.44 S&P 500 2,467.70 up 116.60
10 Year Yield: up at 2.80%
Oil: up at $46.62
24 DEC 18 Previous stock market closings (Monday):
Dow 21,792.20 down 653.17 Nasdaq 6,192.92 down 140.08 S&P 500 2,351.10 down 65.52
The U.S. unemployment rate has fallen to 3.9%, the lowest it has been in over a decade. The economy is doing tremendously well and analyst/economists are stating wage inflation are on the horizon, while the actual wage inflation is rising slightly.
American job employers are sitting on a lot of jobs though, not able to find qualified workers as shown in the past. The Job & Labor Report released last Tuesday, May 8, 2018; by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (US Dept of Labor), indicated that 6.6 million jobs were added in the last day of March 2018. Jobs increased from the beginning of March 2018, where it was around 4.6 million jobs to the end of March, which became 6.6 million jobs.
Economists have indicated with the inflation rising, the Federal Reserve may be more determined to raise interest rates because the job market and the economy is healthy. With an accelerating economy and the labor markets doing good, one can expect the The Fed to be monitoring the situations accordingly. -SB
Bureau of Statistics: U.S. Department of Labor (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm)
Asian stocks took a severe hit today as China economic woes continued to spiral downward. Japanese markets and Chinese markets went lower Thurs because of anxiety toward China’s economy. Oil prices also declined adding more frustration to already turbulent situation.
US crude declined more then 4%, while Brent crude price declined more then 3% for the entire trading day. Asian markets turbulent market conditions have become common late last year and early this year, and the trend probably will continue throughout the second quarter.-SB