10 December 2019

1) Celadon, a truckload carrier and American trucking giant, is slated to declare bankruptcy as early as December the 11 th. This may possibly be the largest truckload bankruptcy in history. Already, fuel cards for truck drivers are getting turned off, leaving truckers stranded in the field unable to get home without using their own money. As many as 3,200 truck drivers may find themselves stranded in addition to being without jobs. In the first half of 2019, about 640 trucking companies went bankrupt, triple the number from last year as freight volumes decline for 11 straight months. Celadon’s stock has gone from $20 a share down to 41 cents.

2) The Federal Government’s liquidity problem hasn’t gone away yet, even with hundreds of billions of dollars in new liquidity created out of thin air. The Feds will not know if there is enough money to cover repos, the short term loaning of money from bank to bank to cover short term cash shortages. If there is insufficient liquidity, then there’s the danger of a ‘lock up’ of American’s financial system.

3) Yes Bank Ltd. is expected to reject an offer of $1.2 billion dollars, more than half its planned $2 billion dollar capital raising. Instead, the company is turning to institutional investors to make up the shortfall. The bank would prefer to have institutions rather than individual investors in their fund raising. Yes Bank needs new investors in order to replenish its capital, which is now down to regulatory minimum as a result of bad loans.

4) Stock market closings for – 9 DEC 19:

Dow           27,909.60    down     105.46
Nasdaq        8,621.83    down       34.70
S&P 500       3,135.96    down         9.95

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.83%

Oil:    down   at    $58.87

30 August 2019

1) The American trucking industry is in trouble with many major trucking firms such as J.B. Hunt, Knight-Swift and Schneider cutting their annual outlooks. In a growing wave of trucking firms bankruptcies, 3,000 truck drivers have lost their jobs. One positive point is the trucking volume seems to be rising, although trucking is a highly cyclic business with wide swings in high and low peaks. With about 1.8 million American truckers, there is the rising threat of automated robot trucks, which the automatic driving technology industry is eyeing and experimenting already with UPS and the post office.

2) More troubles for Tesla’s SolarCity solar-panels and fires with people’s houses being set on fire resulting in extensive damage. Both Walmart and Amazon.com are suing, claiming Tesla’s solar energy systems have caused fires at their stores and warehouses. Tesla is telling home owners their need to do preventive maintenance on their solar power systems, but with 400,000 solar customers, one of the largest customer bases in America, this may not be a strategy to avoid law suits.

3) Disney’s Disney+ is penetrating NetFlix market share with very aggressive pricing and promotion programs that undercuts NetFlix rates, offering with rates that are as much as one third of NetFlix, while locking customers into contracts for as long as three year. When Disney+ announced its entry into the streaming market, Netflix grew its customer base by 2.7 million, instead of the 5 million that had been forecast. The increased competition from Disney+ and other streaming services is forcing NetFlix to use large amounts of capital to create new video content and so remain a viable competitor.

4) Stock market closings for – 29 AUG 19:

Dow 26,362.25 up 326.15
Nasdaq          7,973.39 up 116.51
S&P 500 2,924.58 up 36.64

10 Year Yield: up at 1.52%

Oil: down at $56.61

2 August 2019

1) Goldman Sachs, the investment bank, is starting a three year, $100 million dollar plan to overhaul its stock trading platform. The project, which is named Atlas, is aimed at the world’s largest quant hedge funds with the intent of shaving milliseconds off trades. The quantitative hedge fund investment has become a cutthroat business as other firms have been winning a larger share of a shrinking pie, and Goldman Sachs realizes they have been falling behind the technology race. They must make a strong effort to push forward the technology of electronic trading to maintain their market position.

2) As trade talks continue in Shanghai between China and America, President Trump has imposed an additional 10% tariff on $300 billion dollars worth of Chinese imports. These imports are due to start on the first of September. This does not include the $250 billion dollars already tariffed at 25%. The President blames the Chinese for imposing the tariff, saying China is not following through their promise to buy more American agricultural products and not doing more to stem sales of synthetic opioid fentanyl.

3) Lowe’s, the home improvement retailer, has told thousands of its workers that their jobs are being eliminated. The company will out source the jobs of maintenance and assembly workers to third party companies. These workers assembly products such as wheelbarrows and grills, claiming this will allow store associates to spend more time on the sales floor serving customers. Lowe’s employs 190,000 full time and 110,000 part time workers.

4) Stock market closings for – 1 AUG 19:

Dow           26,583.42    down    280.85
Nasdaq         8,111.12    down      64.30
S&P 500        2,953.56    down      26.82

10 Year Yield:    down   at    1.89%

Oil:    up   at    $54.49

26 July 2019

1) Tesla, the manufacture of all-electric automobiles, has suffered a worse than expected loss. Additionally, there has been another major management shakeup, all of which is casting doubts on the future of the unique automaker. While Tesla delivered a record number of cars in its second quarter, its stock dropped 14% with a loss of $1.12 per share. Nevertheless, Tesla has opened twenty-five new stores and service centers.

2) Concerns grow that the trade tensions may be pushing U.S. economic growth downwards. Fears that the gross domestic product figures due out this Friday will show business investment has weakened. Additional factors stem from slow global growth and falling oil prices. The gains in jobs and wages are preventing growth from sinking. It’s anticipated that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by a quarter point to check softening of the economy.

3) Nissan, the world automobile manufacture, has announced the layoff of 12,500 employees worldwide, or about 10% of its work force. Nissan is striving to rein in the costs increases incurred during the former CEO Carlos Ghosn tenure and alleged financial misconduct. Japan’s number two automaker has suffered a collapse in its quarterly profits, a result of sluggish sales and rising cost. This is another indication of the world’s depressed auto market with other renowned automakers like Ford suffering similar major financial problems.

4) Stock market closings for – 25 JUL 19:

Dow             27,140.98    down    128.99
Nasdaq          8,238.54    down      82.96
S&P 500         3,003.67    down      15.89

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.07%

Oil:    down   at    $55.91

17 July 2019

1) Managing Director Christine Lagarde of the IMF (International Monetary Fund) announced her resignation to become the next head of the European Central Bank. Her resignation from the global lender will be effective the twelfth of September. Lagarde’s second five year term as Managing Director of the IMF was not due to end until July 2021.

2) The pizza giant Domino’s Pizza is seeing its business eroded by food-delivery startups. Second quarter financial reports shows Domino’s sales fell short of analyst estimates causing its stock to drop as much as 7%. Services like GrubHub, DorrDash and EuberEats are cutting into Domino’s food-delivery business in recent years, a result of aggressive promotions and discounts, with Domino’s countering by speeding up its delivery time and expanding number of locations.

3) The electronic news magazine ‘60 Minutes’ had an interview this last Sunday with venture capitalist Kai-Fu Lee about the future of artificial intelligence and China’s efforts to dominate the emerging AI markets. Mr. Lee estimates that in the next fifteen to twenty-five years about 40% of the jobs will disappear from technology displacement. This is in keeping with the recent Osborne Report forecasting that as much as 47% of the jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. An example is the Navy has mandated that new ship designs must use automation to reduce crew sizes by 20%.

4) Stock market closings for – 16 JUL 19:

Dow               27,335.63    down    23.53
Nasdaq            8,222.80    down    35.39
S&P 500           3,004.04    down    10.26

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.12%

Oil:    down   at    $57.48

IS THERE A GAP BETWEEN JOBS & JOB SEEKERS? STUDY SAYS THERE IS…….

Image Credit: DiscoveryJobNetwork.org

By: Economic & Finance Report

Certain studies have indicated there seems to be disparities between hourly wage jobs and workers who work on the clock hourly. Certain contributions can be urban development in metropolis cities, need for more experienced workers in certain job fields, and growth in urban environments.

In a study by Urban Institute and reported by Yahoo Finance. Affordable housing is hard to come by to hourly wage workers, and gentrification in major metropolis urban areas such as NYC, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Boston, are making it harder for hourly workers to make any sort of living, the Urban Institute provides.

Housing development in major cities tend to be way more in rentals, then in smaller cities or rural areas but conflicting accounts tend to point any one direction? As in regards to the root of the problem. Noone has figured it out yet, whether it’s local politicians to the the developers themselves… Answers have not been provided to address the problem as whole. So this “everybody for themselves mentality” is dictated for survival to many who work hourly wages. -SB

Credit: Urban Institute Study: https://www.urban.org/features/too-far-jobs-spatial-mismatch-and-hourly-workers

Credit: Yahoo Finance News: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nyc-san-francisco-housing-crisis-impacting-job-market-190940308.html

19 March 2019

1) Used aluminum cans are unwanted by scrape metal dealers, because the metal is less desirable for structural aluminum in aircraft and cars. Scrap prices have dropped 30% indicating the economic challenges for recycling.

2) Flooding in Nebraska has left the state nearly paralyzed the flood leaving people isolated and bringing business to a near standstill. It is still too early to assess the economic losses, but it’s expected to be tremendous.

3) Home Depot, the home improvement supplier, is going on a massive hiring spree planning to hire 80,000 new people this spring to staff stores. Positions are both permanent and seasonal part-time jobs. Seasonal jobs can be for as long as 120 days.

4) 18 MAR 19 Stock market closing:

Dow           25,914.10   up   65.23
Nasdaq        7,714.48   up   25.95
S&P 500       2,832.94   up   10.46

10 Year Yield:     up   at    2.60%

Oil:      down   at    $59.02

26 February 2019

1) British farmers and produce workers divided over how Brexit could effect trade. Produce imports comes mostly from European Union and many of the produce workers in Britain are foreign. There are just 32 days left until Brexit automatically happens.

2) Rwanda is being courted by invertors amidst booming economic growth. The government is stable with 7% growth last year and 7.8% growth expected this next year. With the $2 billion dollars invested so far, there are now thousands of new jobs.

3) Fears of sub-prime mortgages could cause another 2007 bubble bust which then caused the 2008 economic crash world wide. Presently, 21% of those sub-prime mortgages are five years without payment because the word got out that mortgage companies were not foreclosing.

4) 25 FEB 19 Stock market closings:

Dow               26,091.95    up    60.14
Nasdaq            7,554.46    up     26.91
S&P 500            2,796.11    up      3.44

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.67%

Oil:    down   at    $55.42

7 December 2018

1) The arrest of a top Chinese executive of Huawei, a major Chinese high technology company, caused world markets, including the Dow, to fall.  The Dow dropped 777 points before news that the Feds planned to slow down on increasing the interest rate was announced.

2) Research finds that millennials don’t have the money to spend that previous generations had.  The assumption has been a shift in spending habits, but with a millennial male making $6,600 dollars less than 1978 men, it appears they just don’t have the disposable income.  Working women haven’t made up the difference, opening the question about the future viability of our hyper-consumerism economy.

3) The EPA is expected to rollback back emission standards allowing coal fire powerplants to operate again without having to remove the carbon dioxide from burning coal.

4) 6 DEC 18     Stock market closings:

Dow                24,947.67         down      79.40
Nasdaq             7,188.26               up      29.83
S&P 500            2,695.95          down        4.11

10 Year Yield:     down   at   2.88%

Oil:    up   at     $51.52

30 November 2018

1) President Trump goes to G20 conference amid concerns for the near and far future of world economies, as countries are withdrawing into nationalism and protectionism.  While flying to the conference, Trump tweeted his cancellation of meeting Putin because of Russia’s recent aggressive actions against Ukraine.

2) Because of sever shortages of pork, a result of widespread disease in Chinese hog herds, China has resumed buying pork from America despite the trade war.

3) The pharmaceutical company Bayer announced plans to cut 12,000 jobs as a result of the Monsanto takeover.  This action is a result of restructuring because of losing a massive lawsuit over the weedkiller Roundup.

4) 29 NOV 18    Stock market closings:   The three day market rally ends.

Dow                           25,338.84       down          27.59
Nasdaq                        7,273.08       down          18.51
S&P 500                       2,737.76       down            6.03

10 Year Yield:      down   at    3.04%

Oil:         down   at    $51.33