1) Demand for oil is shrinking as the trade war causes the world economies to retract. China’s economy is slowing faster than experts had expected, with the EU and US also not growing in oil demand. Fears that oil prices will drop below $40 a barrel fuel fears of a continual global slowing of economies. The U.S. boom in domestic oil production using fracking is dependent on high oil prices, and with American petroleum stocks at an all time high, it may not be feasible to continue fracking.
2) With mortgage rates dropping to their lowest level in nearly two years, there has been a surge in refinancing applications. In just one week, applications increased 26.8%, which is 41% greater than a year ago. Refinance mortgages are the most rate-sensitive because when low, people rush to refinance while they can get the lower rates.
3) For the second straight month, Boeing aircraft reports no new aircraft sales. The drop isn’t just because of the 737 MAX grounding, but the company already has a massive 5,000 aircraft backorder to fill, so many customers don’t need to place additional orders. With the airline Jet Airways halting operations, their pending sales contracts have been canceled, which totaled 71 aircraft.
4) Stock market closings for- 12 JUN 19:
Dow 26,004.83 down 43.68 Nasdaq 7,792.72 down 29.85 S&P 500 2,879.84 down 5.88
1) The outlook for retailers continues to get grimmer with earning reports shrinking. Three major retailers, Michaels, Home Group and Zales have shown a slowdown in their sales, and these companies sell very different products, indicating this slowdown is not market specific, but rather a general economic slowdown. There is an emerging trend of decline for consumer based companies despite record unemployment.
2) Job cuts soar to 46% in May, worst than last year’s May. The tech sector and retail suffer significantly, with retail cutting more jobs than any other sector. The auto segment is also suffering as a result of lower new car sales. Since the tech sector accounts for the highest paying jobs and from some of the most sought after jobs, this doesn’t bode well for America’s economic outlook.
3) The expanding trade war may result in an 1970’s style supply shock as reliable supplies of cheap imports of manufactured goods are suddenly curtailed. In the 1970’s it was the supply of cheap oil curtailed from the 1973 oil embargo that cause a drastic economic decline. A similar sharp drop in consumer and industrial goods could have the same effect to America’s economy today.
4) Stock market closings for 6 JUN 19:
Dow 25,720.66 up 181.09 Nasdaq 7,615.55 up 40.08 S&P 500 2,843.49 up 17.34
Financial investment power house Goldman Sach (GS); is in negotiations to aquire B&B Hotels and all its subsidiary chains. They will be acquiring the chain from PAI Partners (French hospitality investment firm).
The purchase will happen in the latter part of 2019. The deal is supposed to be worth around $2.2 billion (USD). B&B Hotels has over 486 hotels (in total). The company was founded in 1990 and operates in the hospitality market in countries such as Brazil, Morrocco, and many Euro countries.
GS merchant banking division will be pursuing the close of the transaction, which is supposedly going to happen later this year (2019). -SB
1) Markets continue to rise as President Trump delays the actual implementation of auto tariffs. Reportedly, the tariffs are to be delayed for up to six months. Other news helped push the markets up, such as Boeing expects to have its 737 MAX software fix released soon.
2) Monet’s ‘Meules’ is now the most expensive painting ever sold at auction. The painting sold for $110.7 million dollars after an eight minute bidding war at Sotheby’s in New York. This is a crushing return on investment, which was bought for $2.56 million dollars in 1986, giving a return on investment of 4,300%.
3) Prior to the new tariffs, China’s economy was slowing down, showing the fragility of the world’s second largest economy. China’s industrial output, retail sales and investment have slowed more than economist expected. With the faltering of credit coupled with slowing consumption at home, combining with a weaker global economy translates into China running out of steady growth right when it’s most needed.
4) 15 MAY 19 Stock market closings:
Dow 25,648.02 up 115.97 Nasdaq 7,822.15 up 87.65 S&P 500 2,850.96 up 16.55
1) Trump’s tariffs went into effect today, at first driving the markets down, but then they recovered to all close high. Trumps statement that talks with China will continue pushed the markets up, while also leaving open the possibility that the tariffs may be soon removed. The tariffs went from 10% to 25% on $200 billion dollars of Chinese imports.
2) With the new tariffs on China, there are concerns for the U.S. economy and that the threat of an increased trade war between China and U.S. will cause a drop in both China’s and American’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product). Declines in GDP is not expected to be limited to America and China, but the global GDP could also suffer too.
3) The apparent contraction of consumerism continues with more than 6,200 stores to close this year. For the last couple of years, the retail industry has been rocked by the number of store closures. The list of retailers include such big names as Payless ShoeSource, Family Dollar, Gap, Victoria’s Secret, Office Depot and OfficeMax, Kmart, CVS, Pier 1 Imports, Bed and Bath, Lowe’s, JC Penny’s and even Walmart.
4) 10 MAY 19 Stock market closings:
Dow 25,942.37 up 114.01 Nasdaq 7,916.94 up 6.35 S&P 500 2,881.40 up 10.68
Uber the rideshare tech company, its stock tanked on its first official trading day on the NYSE, Friday, May 10, 2019 will be a day of turmoil on the Uber corporate calendar. It was a horrible trading day for the mammoth ride sharing tech company.
Uber declined close to 8% during the stock market trading day. The stock plummeting so much (in which it did), is the first time any stock has come out the gates on Wall St and lost so much market share. The valuation of Uber was at $76 billion dollars, when analysts had predicted that it would be valued around $90-$100 billion dollars, well that didn’t happen. Not only that, Uber has been bleeding money and the perception is that, Uber won’t actually make any real money until the year 2024, hopefully.
Uber being one of the biggest IPO companies probably since Alibaba, Facebook and a few others. So it to falter as it did was a shocker to some and to others, not so much. Technology companies tend not to fare well in the beginning of their IPO presence. Facebook had a rocky start coming out the gates and other big tech companies before it, have gone through similar revelations.
It’s the test of time that will dictate the longevity of Uber’s existence and if they can navigate their ship in theses rough and turbulent stock market waters. -SB
1) The jobs report Friday was better than expected, up from last months 190,000, with 263,000 jobs reported and unemployment down again to 3.6%. This underscores the economy’s vigor with unemployment at half the century low. This may eliminate the markets fears of a recession.
2) This Friday, just after midnight, China will have an additional 25% tariffs imposed. However, there are fears that domestic Chinese politics may cause the ploy to backfire, from the Chinese people seeing their government backing down to America. Therefore, the Chinese government may not be able to respond as Washington is expecting.
3) Fears of the consequences of more tariffs on China caused a slight downturn of today’s market closings.
4) 6 MAY 19 Stock market closings:
Dow 26,438.48 down 66.47 Nasdaq 8,123.29 down 40.71 S&P 500 2,932.47 down 13.17
1) Increase in spending on gasoline and cars is expected to boost retail sales for March above the dismal sales of February. These numbers are being watched closely because there are conflicting statistics in reports that will indicate if there is a down turn of the economy. The retail sales numbers are the last to be coming in.
2) Contributions to restore Notre Dame continue to come in, now totaling almost one billion dollars. Notre Dame didn’t have any insurance, but Lloyds of London estimates that full restoration will require about eight billion dollars. Initial investigation found that the church structure came close to total collapse.
3) Fears of ‘medicare for all’ caused the health care stocks to drop. So far, health insurance and hospital stocks are down about $28 billion dollars, but in general today’s markets closed unchanged.
4) 17 APR 19 Stock market closings:
Dow 26,449.54 down 3.12 Nasdaq 7,996.08 down 4.15 S&P 500 2,900.45 down 6.61
1) The ride service Uber’s long awaited IPO (Initial Public Offering) filing is being watched for. The IPO is coming just two weeks after Lyft’s IPO. Uber and Lyft have been running neck and neck in competition in the rider market.
2) Signs that the US economy is strengthening is indicated by the number of new jobs rebounding from February with 196,000 new jobs in March. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.8%, while consumers spending is also accelerating, another sign that the US economy is regaining momentum..
3) Disney corporation is entering the streaming competition against Netflex. The streaming service will be called Disney Plus. Right now, Disney also owns 60% of the Hulu streaming service. Disney Plus is coming out just when Netflix announced its price increases plus it’s the lowest cost of any of the streaming services.
4) 11 APR 19 Stock market closing:
Dow 26,143.05 down 14.11 Nasdaq 7,947.36 down 16.88 S&P 500 2,888.32 up 0.11
1) The IMF (International Monetary Fund) has reduced their forecasted for world economic growth from 3.5% to 3.3%, which is the third reduction since last October. It forecasted 2.3% growth for the US economy, as well as reduced growth forecast for Germany and Great Britain.
2) Walmart is rolling out thousands of robots for use in their retail stores across America. These robots will automatically scan shelves and clean floors. With a million employees, Walmart is seeking ways to keep labor cost down.
3) Bank of America is raising it’s minimum wage to $20 an hour over the next two years. Starting the first of May, the rate will increase to $17 per hour. The bank has 205,000 employees.
4) 9 APR 19 Stock market closings: Markets pulled down by industrial sector.
Dow 26,150.58 down 190.44 Nasdaq 7,909.28 down 44.61 S&P 500 2,878.20 down 17.57