11 April 2019

1) Boeing has not received any new orders for its 737 since its grounding, in addition, Boeing has had 100 cancellations of orders. Its stock is down 19%, but worst its stockholders have filed a law suit against Boeing claiming the company has defrauded its investors because Boeing failed to disclosed safety issues concerning their 737 MAX-8.

2) British Prime Minister May has asked the EU (European Union) for a second extension. Britain will be leaving the EU this Friday if an extension is not granted, so the EU held an emergency summit to consider warnings that a crash-out might cause a recession. Last reports are that the EU will grant an extension to 31 October this year.

3) The ECB (European Central Bank) will leave interest rates steady, forecasting no change for 2019. The ECB is being forced to backtrack on its tightening monetary policy as signs of a world economic slowdown are increasing.

4) 10 APR 19 Stock market closing:

Dow            26,157.16     up     6.58
Nasdaq         7,964.24     up   54.97
S&P 500        2,888.21     up   10.01

10 Year Yield:    down   at    2.48%

Oil:   down   at    $64.47  0.14

8 April 2019

1) The European Union has offered to extended the exit date in an effort to avoid a unplanned crash-out. Prime Minister May asked for an extension to 30 June, but the EU countered with a offer for a one year extension, which could be terminated early if an exit plan is agreed upon before the one year is up.

2) Samsung has forecast the lowest quarter profits in more than two years. The first quarter outlook looks ugly with a 15% decline from last years first quarter. The poor performance is a result of poor semiconductor sales coupled with a slowing growth in the smart phone market.

3) New jobs in March is six times that of February. The US added 196,000 new jobs, many claiming this indicates solid growth in the economy, and therefore the economy is doing just fine. But some worry about the unemployment rate holding steady, because an upturn in the unemployment rate usually signals a recession in the near future.

4) 5 APR 10 Stock market closings:

 Dow           26,424.99     up    40.36
Nasdaq        7,938.69     up    46.91
S&P 500       2,892.74     up     13.35

10 Year Yield:     down   at    2.50%

Oil:    up   at    $63.26

28 March 2019

1) Eviction crisis is starting to look a lot like the sub-prime mortgage crisis. Housing is increasingly out of reach for many Americans, which is resulting in increased incidents of evictions. This is an indicator of housing being priced out of reach for many people.

2) There has been another incident with Boeing’s 737 bringing further doubts to the design. Soon after a 737 MAX-8 took off, it developed an engine problem forcing it to return. Boeing announced that they were completing a software fix for the MAX-8 series, and are close to submitting it to the FAA sometime this week. The new software is reported to now use the inputs from two different sensors, which must agree before the program will accept the input.

3) Prime Minister May has announced her willingness to step down if Parliament will past her Brexit plan, but didn’t give a specific date. Parliament considered eight proposed strategies and voted on each one, with all eight being voted down. This leaves Britain right where she started, with time quickly running out.

4) 27 MAR 19 Stock market closings:

 Dow                25,625.59    down    32.14
Nasdaq              7,643.38    down    48.14
S&P 500             2,805.37    down    13.09

10 Year Yield:     down   at    2.37%

Oil:    down   at    $59.35

22 March 2019

1) Walmart has plans to compete with Amazon in the future, by using Jetblack personal shopping service to train AI systems. Jetblack has an army of human agents that can use in training Walmart’s AI system which can power an automatic personal shipping service in the next 5 to 7 years. This makes Jetblack more of a research facility.

2) The Chinese telecom company Tencent’s stock is down after the Chinese government imposed regulations designed to limit online games. They have suffered their largest decline in ten years with a 32% declined. Since smart phones is the biggest part of their business, this drop wiped off $100 billion dollars of book value.

3) The Prime Minister of Britain is trying to obtain a short extension of Brexit by going to Brussels. The major members of the European Union said they would endorse a short extension, but only if the British Parliament approves the exit plan. But British political parties are splintered over what should be done about Brexit.

4) 21 MAR 19 Stock market closings:

 Dow                   25,962.51     up     216.84
Nasdaq                 7,838.96     up     109.99
S&P 500                2,854.88     up        30.65  

10 Year Yield:     unchanged   at    2.54%

Oil:     down   at    $59.87

6 March 2019

1) The Green New Deal is bringing out proposals for financing the single payer health care proposals. There is a big problem with providing enough health care people such as doctors and nurses to care for the increase numbers of people. Suggestions for finance is an overhaul of present payroll tax combining social security, unemployment and medicare into one flat tax for all of a person’s income. However, apparently there has been no modeling of this strategy to determine its viability.

2) President Trump proposes to drop the preferential trade treatment for India. Presently, there are $5.6 billion dollars worth of Indian goods imported each year into America duty free, while India is imposing high tariffs on US goods imported into India.

3)  As Brexit nears, British people and companies are stockpiling goods at an increasing rate, fearful of shortages if a ‘no-deal’ exit occurs. Both business and households are fearful of shortages especially food items first, then things like toilet paper and medicine.

4) 5 MAR 19 Stock market closings:

Dow           25,806.63     down     13.02
Nasdaq        7,576.36     down       1.21
S&P 500       2,789.65     down       3.16

10 Year Yield:    unchanged   at    2.72%

Oil:    down   at    $56.28

1 March 2019

1) Apple announced they are laying off 190 people from their self driving car division. These includes forty hardware engineers, twelve software engineers and one machine shop technician. Speculation is that Apple is pulling out of the self driving car competition. They hadn’t actually built a working self driving car, rather they have reportedly concentrated on the sensors and software organic to such systems, which means they are behind the other developers.

2) The Brexit problem for Britain deepens as considerations are being made for Britain to extend the time when it’s exits from the European Union. No time for extensions has been agreed upon yet, although the Prime Minister has stated than it cannot be more than a few weeks. This is another example of the British’s concerns for the difficulties that face Britain’s exit.

3) Twenty-first Century Fox studios has been ordered to pay actors of the hit show “Bones”, $179 million dollars in punitive damages, which it withheld from profits promised to the actors.

4) 28 FEB 19 Stock market closings:

Dow                  25,916.00    down    69.16
Nasdaq               7,532.53    down    21.98
S&P 500              2,784.49    down      7.89

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.71%

Oil:    down   at    $57.18

20 February 2019

1) PMI readings released for America, Japan and the Eurozone indicate a slowing down. This is a result of international tensions, with America having a one in four chance of a slowdown.

2) Honda announced it is pulling out of England, with a loss of 3,500 jobs. Honda claimed their decision wasn’t a result of Brexit, but Britain is considered to be a business friendly country and therefore a portal into the European Union, but with Brexit that will now be going away. Presently, about half the cars in Britain are Japanese models, and Honda’s withdrawal is raising fears that the other Japanese automakers will decide to also withdraw.

3) Fears deepen that the sharp rise of the yen may hurt Japan’s economy. Japan is plagued by low growth, tepid consumer purchases, fast falling of exports and an aging population, all which contribute to Japan’s economic woes.

4) 19 FEB 19     Stock market closings:

Dow                 25,891.32     up      8.07
Nasdaq             7,486.77     up    14.36
S&P 500            2,779.76     up      4.16

10 Year Yield:      down    at     2.65%

Oil:       unchanged   at    $56.09

8 February 2019

1) The EU (European Union) has declared they will not negotiate the Brexit deal with Britain. There are only fifty days remaining before Brexit automatically happens.

2) Optimism fades over China-US trade talks stalling, which caused domestic market to dip down. The administration is considering another tax cut this next year for middle American’s.

3) The growth forecast for the EU is down because of the trade war and global tensions plus the slowdown of China’s economy.

4) 7 FEB 19    Stock market closings:

Dow                  25,169.53    down     220.77
Nasdaq              7,288.35    down       86.93
S&P 500              2,706.05   down       25.56

10 Year Yield:     down   at    2.65%

Oil:    down   at    $52.54

5 February 2019

1) With just seven weeks remaining before Brexit, Scotland is warning of the looming consequences, but so far has been sidelined and ignored. Contend that Britain is not remotely prepared for exit and therefore calls for an extension, fearing a ‘crash out’ will be a catastrophe because EU rules touches every aspect of EU trade, and therefore will cause trade to come to a sudden halt.

2) White House economic adviser critiqued the Democratic tax proposals being pursued as being economically illiterate.

3) Car dealers are holding large numbers of unsold cars with sales expected to drop this year. This will put pressure on manufactures to cut car production and offer deep discounts to lower inventories.

4) 4 FEB 19    Stock market closings:

Dow              25,239.37    up   75.48
Nasdaq           7,347.54    up   83.67
S&P 500          2,724.87    up   18.34

10 Year Yield:    up   at    2.72%

Oil:    up   at    $54.82

4 February 2019

1) Amazon’s retail sales was lower than expected for the fourth quarter, although their other operations kept profits up.

2) The collapse of Sears just might be the start of a retail apocalypse. As more retailers became troubled, it may signal consumerism is slumping. Even strong retailers had a lackluster Christmas, more economist are fearing a coming recession and more retailers will be in trouble if economic growth slows.

3) Brexit has already spawned economic damages. The largest EU banks are moving out or planning to move in the near future. Britain’s Pound has fallen 10% against the Euro resulting in reduced purchasing power for the British people. There are many other sectors adversely effected.

4) 1 FEB 19 Stock market closings:

Dow               25,063.89          up    64.22
Nasdaq            7,263.87      down   17.87
S&P 500           2,706.53            up     2.43

10 Year Yield:    up   at   2.69%

Oil:    up   at    $55.37