By: Economic & Finance Report
The recent civil unrest for the last two months in several cities, vividly shows the process of social mitosis at work.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
The murder of George Floyd on the 25th of May, sparked protests against police brutality, police racism, and lack of police accountability across the nation. Now, more than sixty days later, not only do those protest continue, but they are gaining in momentum and intensity, spreading to other cities. Why? Young people continue to come out and protest, then near riot, to show their disapproval. WHY? Because many young people are dissatisfied with the government and with society, so the murder has triggered a release of frustration and anger, which is focused on the government and its institutions.
We are seeing a process called social mitosis, a process where social groups begin pulling apart, as people strive to go in different directions, resulting in a pulling force against each other. This is illustrated by the figure on the left, with ‘a’ the first stage where we have the α (alpha) people, who are a fairly homogeneous uniform society living in harmony. But the people begin wanting different things in life, wanting to go in different directions to pursue their wants, as seen in ‘b’. This ‘going’ in different directions causes tension as the α people pull against themselves, so sub-societies begin to form, becoming the αΓ (alpha-gamma) and the αΩ (alpha-omega) people. This pulling apart puts more stress between them which in turn further aggravates and polarizes the people.
Left unattended, this pulling away or polarizing continues with the sub-cultures becoming more pronounced resulting in further separation until the subcultures become very distinct entities. In ‘c’ we now see the Γα (gamma-alpha) and the Ωα (omega-alpha) people, the alpha ‘α’ subscript indicating there is still much commonality between the people, but still they are now becoming very distinct cultures with different believes, wants and desires in life. There are increasing stresses between the two cultures over what the shared environment will look like, what it will be like. As this pulling apart continues, the commonality decreases to the point where there is now two separate distinct cultures as represented by ‘d’, there now being the Γ (gamma) and the Ω (omega) people with distinct cultures each wanting to shed the other people and be on their own, charting their own course in the world without having to consider the other people.
Then finally, there is a point . . . an event, which causes an actual breaking apart of these two people at ‘e’, and that breaking often results in revolution or insurrection and the violence of war. A war to determine who will dominate and who will be submissive. A war that is the worst kind . . . one usually of savagery and brutality. War that the participants stumble blindly into unaware just what they are getting into, drawn by the illusion of independence, romantic images coupled with a nonsensical understanding of revolution. The present social mitosis started in the sixties when I was a boy, with the emergence of the counter culture. The hippies and flower children who were disenfranchised with the society they lived in and yearning for a world of their own.
They had become alienated in their home land.
Slowly, but surely the splitting process progressed, in perceivably divisions which widened into separate cultures. While over the decades, this mitosis process has waxed and waned, with the division between people becoming deeper and deeper, and people often migrating to different areas of the country to be with their own. Technology also drives this division, with people failing to advance and therefore be a part of an advance technological society. People become aliens . . . people who fail to advance technologically, so they become aliens in their own homeland. Technology also caused further stress as people became obsolete, they being replaced by technology and machines. People began the long slide downwards from one lesser paying job to even lesser paying jobs, thus leaving people even more alienated and dissatisfied. Add to this is the constant pushing out of the‘social – economic’ system by technology, the same exact thing that happened to the Native Americans over a century ago. A corollary of war-
A technologically advance people will displace a lesser people.
Although the murder of George Floyd is what triggered this unrest, it’s now a reaction to this displacement, the unleashing of pent-up anger, fear, frustration, aggravation and rejection of the world they don’t understand, yet are trying to live in. The young people of America just don’t see any future for themselves with 20 to 25% of college graduates unemployed or underemployed. They want a world of their own, a world where they can belong, to be comfortable and happy in. They don’t feel they are a part of the advance technology world they reject, so they want out. The actions you see in today’s protest is a manifestation of social mitosis. But right now, there isn’t any real direction or goals to their actions, just expressions of anger and frustration through violence.
For any government, the police is the face of that government, consequently when people are dissatisfied with the performance of a government, the people lash out at the police, often blindly. But so far, the actions and violence have been to gratify feelings of anger, lacking any real direction or goal. For the ‘rupture’ to occur, there is a need for a viable political philosophy, a philosophy that people are willing to risk life, limb, liberty and property to pursue. That sets a goal for the people to work towards to fulfill their dreams and desires. That’s what causes stage ‘e’, the actual breakaway of the two societies . . . nearly always with violence or revolution. And that’s when it all turns into one ungodly nightmarish mess for all.
With a closer look at these actions and attitude, many will consider these ‘protest’ to be unproductive, even foolish, but what you are also seeing is the analytical, intellectual, and problem solving skill levels of the protesters, those skills they have for the twenty-first century, which as we might guess, isn’t particularly strong. This is why businesses are continually seeking technologies which allows them to avoid such people as workers. This further pushes them out of the social-economic system. Other than being a consumer, these people have very little of value to offer for the twenty-first century.
All that is missing . . . to have a conflagration, is that viable political philosophy.
My book, “America’s Slide into Domestic Terrorism” in the series ‘Technology Monograms for Law Enforcement’, (available on Amazon.com) explains the three principle forces now pushing so many people, especially the young people (millennials and generation-Z) out of society. It includes the basic theory of war and therefore how those three forces, through social mitosis, can lead ultimately to wide spread domestic terrorism in America.
In all forms of insurrection, the police are the first and foremost targets for the insurrectionist, we’ve seen that recently in Iraq and Afghanistan, for when the Allies started establishing police forces, the insurrectionist immediately attacked the police trying to foil their establishment. The police is what translates the intangible academic power of the state into real tangible power. Without the police, the rest of the government ceases to effectively exist and therefore becomes impotent. But with a collapsed government, innumerable little groups and individuals come out of the woodwork convinced they should be the one who governs. Quickly, they turn to violence trying to impose themselves on the people, thus bringing civil war as we saw with the Arab Spring recently.
Bottom line- what we are witnessing in cities like Portland cannot to be casually dismissed one way or another. Nor will simply repressing and dispersing the demonstrators solve the problem. Only by addressing the problems of obsolete people and alienation of people can any real progress be made. And that means having a functioning government rather than image makers!
WORK THE PROBLEM!!!
The ever popular and growing social media, that seems just a harmless recreation, has a growing dark side to it reminiscent of science fiction.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
The 1956 science fiction movie, ‘Forbidden Planet’ is a classic film of space travel and science fiction, indeed some claim it was the first real space science fiction movie, which pioneered excellent special effects combined with great cinema graphics and story line. Earth men travel to the distant planet Altair-4 finding Dr. Morbius and his daughter, living in a world once inhabited by a very advance people with a technology far beyond the earthlings. These people, the Krel, had gone extinct thousands of years ago, but their advance technology continued to sustain itself on its own. The Krel had developed an advance technology that let any and all of its people create anything they desired just by thinking of it. But the Krel hadn’t considered the secret dark side of an individual’s mind, which went on to create monsters that attacked and killed others. The Krel, with their new technology, unleashed the destruction of their people and civilization. Unable to control the hidden emotions of petty jealousy, envy, resentments and insecurities buried deep within us, those emotions manifest themselves into hunter-killers which attacked the other Krels until none were left.
We too have developed a technology which can do the same thing to us as with the Krel . . . well almost. It’s our social media! This relatively new technology also allows our deep hidden dark side to emerge into the open of the internet. To also attack, hurt, humiliate, degrade, vilify and destroy others, both friend and foe. Not having to face others, we feel free, with no restraints, to say whatever is on our mind without any consideration. When new to the social media such as Tweeter or Facebook, we are cautious and reflective of what we say, but as time goes on, we become relaxed and slowly lower our guard. We become impulsive, beginning to say (write) what is really on our minds without consideration of the consequences on our relationships with others. While we are careful not to say how we really feel when face to face with others, with social media we just ‘let it all hang out’. No forethought or consideration of how our writings will be received by others. We lose all our in-habitations, and so . . .
The Krel are among us . . . and they are US!
My neighbor related a recent experience with social media that inspired this article, a comment on a cousin’s page which caused a pointless dustup of emotions, which fortunately the two were able to back away from and stop damage to their relationship . . . this time. But how about the next time? Now in the habit of no ‘inhibitions’, of impulsive thoughts unleashed without any time taken for reflection, without the facial expressions and body language feedback to warn and guide our thought process as we speak, what can happen? And that’s when we hurt or insult others. That’s the Krel among us, the social media which easily brings our darker side out without us really realizing it, until its too late. The Krel’s ‘monsters of the id’ set loose to began the process of eating away and destroying our interpersonal relationships.
Social mitosis is the process of a people, a uniform social group, slowly pulling against each other trying to go in different directions, much as two cats leashed together inevitably pulling in opposite directions. External forces start to polarize the people, often causing subgroups to form, wanting to go in different directions. This tends to be a slow drifting apart process, which is often imperceptible to the people while it is happening, but they are still one people acting largely as one. There is still a high degree of identification and empathy between individuals. But as the people are pulling apart, they become more identifiable as subgroups. More and more, the subgroups pull in different directions, with more strain building between the subgroups, so incidents of friction between the two subgroups become more frequent, but at first isn’t usually severe. However, the friction incidents serve to continue dividing the people until the subgroups become very distinct, each with their own culture. Two new cultures and peoples develop, becoming more distinct and separate, identifying less with each other.
Left unattended, the two people continue to pull apart, continue to become more distinct and different. At some time, there is a rupture and those people become two separate and distinct cultures and societies, and that rupture is usually of a violent nature. ‘Revolution’. ‘Insurrection’. People fighting to be free and out from under the other, to do and think whatever they wish. Very romantic sounding, but the reality is usually very different and far from romantic. The social mitosis of America started when I was a boy in the sixties with the emergence of the counter culture (the hippies), and has continued ever since. While the split has wax and waned over the years, the problem of obsolete people in the last few decades and their displacement from the social-economic system has caused significant strain between people, the rife between them growing deeper as they evolve into separate societies. We see this growing riff every night watching the national news and the political infighting in Washington.
The Krel of our social media is now deepening the split in social mitosis, causing further strain and conflict and at an accelerated rate. Like the Krel in the movie, we are unleashing our inner darker side onto others, to attack and eat away at our relationships, unaware what is happening. The Krel social media is a hidden evil that we have no real control over. We can only rely on the self control of individuals . . . millions of individuals acting independently. The vast majority completely unaware of the Krel syndrom of social media, what they are unconsciously doing as they tap out another posting. The destructive power they hold literally in their hands . . . the power to drive people apart with unforseen consequences. To attack. All without any thinking. So we would do well to consider . . .
A Corollary of War:
Never attack without having a specific objective-
Never attack without a reasonable expectation of achieving that objective.
To ask the questions about a posting- Why are you attacking? What do you expect to gain for the cost of attacking? (cost-benefit) What exactly do you expect to achieve from you’re attack? And most important, do you really think you can gain what you’re expecting to get?
But then, if you don’t realize you’re attacking, it’s rather hard to ask and answer these questions, isn’t it!
As so often the case with social problems, the obsolescence of people is ignored which makes finding any real solutions impossible.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
The problems for American Blacks, as well as many other minorities, is boiled down to one simple all encompassing word that ignores some very powerful forces at work in society today. That word is ‘Racism’. It’s the systemic centuries old racism, particularly by the privileged white people, which is the curse of Black people that keeps holding them back in society. Lets explore that for a minute, but first a little background so you can understand what I’m saying.
We hear repeatedly that the American Civil War freed the slaves! But in actuality it didn’t. The winning of the war did end titled slavery, where people actually owned other people as property. After the war, the plantations still needed cheap labor to produce tobacco and cotton, so this titled slavery was replaced by a serfdom system of share croppers. These were farm labors, mostly Black, who worked small plots of land for a portion of the crops raised. Forty acres and a mule, the share cropper and his family worked long hard hours to raise the labor intensive crops of cotton and tobacco to earn just enough to subside on. For the year, he lived off credit from the local store, paying it back after harvest, with very little to nothing left. Being left in debt, he couldn’t leave for any better opportunities, facing a systematic program of terrorism designed to keep him on the land working.
But then came World War II, and the massive expansion of American industry and its ability to design and manufacture sophisticated machines. Before the war, there had been much interest in automation for agriculture including cotton and tobacco, and after the war ended, new machines to automate their cultivation were introduced, just as had been done with wheat and corn crops. Suddenly, farmers no longer wanted all those little 40 acre plots, they wanted fields that went for a mile or more, and were half as wide. They didn’t want any obstructions on the land, they wanted smooth continuous fields where a combine could be driven with a minimum of turning.
They no longer wanted those share croppers with their small shacks and out buildings. They no longer had any use for their serfdom slaves, therefore they wanted all the share croppers off the land, but in the process finally set the Blacks free. In turn, this allowed real progress to be made with civil rights, because the monied powerful no longer cared about retaining the serfdom system of sharecroppers. The way was open, so starting in the fifties, civil rights began to make real progress.
The thing that truly freed the slaves wasn’t the Civil War, it was technology that made them obsolete as cheap human labor. The Black people were displaced by machines! They were now free to go out and make their way in the American economic system, to have their part of the American dream.
Trouble was, just as technology made them obsolete and free, technology was also beginning to take away jobs in industry . . . you know, those factory jobs where previous Americans had started their climb up the economic ladder. They were walking right into another round of even bigger displacement by technology. So it was like they were climbing a huge hill trying to reach the top and be with those ‘privileged whites’, except that hill was made up of gravel (our picture upper right). Every time they took a step, they slide backwards some amount. And the gravel they struggled against was technology which was taking away jobs.
No one realized that at the same time, many of those ‘privileged whites’ were starting to slip off the hill, sliding down, scrambling to regain what they had lost, but also taking one step forward and sliding two back as technology forced them down and out. The newly freed Blacks didn’t realize they were NOT in competition with the white people for a place in the economic sun, they were in competition against the machines. This continues today, but at a faster pace. And the machines don’t know or care anything about race, color or creed! It’s evident by the gravel hill analogy just how important technology displacement is to the advancement of Blacks or any other people. If technology is continually eroding away the steps to advancement, by doing away with jobs, then you must consider it if you’re going to make any real progress, yet every political activist working to advance the Blacks ignores this very important, indeed essential fact of life.
That’s why all of them have basically failed to make any progress.
We now have another political movement spawned to try again and lift up the Blacks, and again they are depending solely on political activism to achieve their goals instead of working the problem by analysis, research and understanding what is driving the situation. The same methodology that’s been used since the 1960’s and therefore most certainly will have the same results. The leaders of this political activism, in their drive for equality, don’t realize that Blacks are just as equal to the other Americans . . . because they are just as equally obsolete before they ever get started. And that’s the crux of the problem.
This applies to other minorities besides Black people. The exact same thing happened with the liberation of women. What actually liberated women was technology . . . technology made women obsolete as women, freeing them to go out into the work force and make their way, but they quickly found the way blocked. Like the Blacks, they came out into the workforce just when automation was beginning to make inroads in eliminating jobs, taking away jobs leaving women to also climb the crumbling hill of gravel. You can read another article I wrote titled, “The Fallacy of Women’s Liberation” on my website www.peopleobsolete.com, scrolling down to article number 32 and clicking on the title or the ‘PDF Download’ to read. It will give you a better understanding of the complexity of the problem.
Problems don’t get solved by pretending, they get solved by working them, by using real problem solving skills of understanding that only comes from research, analysis, modeling and intellect instead of by emotion. By THINKING! As long as we depend on political activism to solve our problems no one will ever have any real viable solutions.
We will always have those problems plaguing us.
By: Economic & Finance Report
With the national protests occurring in the United States. There has long been an issue about the income inequality among minorities and investment inequalities among minorities, especially African Americans.
Analytics and data collected from The Federal Reserve indicate that over 60% of white families have stock share holdings while only 30% of black families have stock holdings. Indicated is that only a third of African American families are seeing the benefits from the stock market rally, currently occurring.
The wealth gap between minorities and white families is also very wide. Median white family net worth is $171,000 while African American family median net worth is approx $18,000. These wealth gaps tend to have economical effect on minority and black families as they are not given a fighting chance to improve financially and economically amongst their counterparts. -SB
Source: Yahoo Finance; Federal Reserve Survey Consumer Finances (2016); Image Source: Vox.com
How people perceive the crocodile of a totalitarian state not as really being a crocodile simply because it’s sleeping quietly.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
It’s an amazing phenomena, the way people and modern governments perceive a totalitarian state as safe and harmless, much as if they think a crocodile laying out in the water, peacefully sleeping, its eyes, nostrils and a few bumps along its spine protruding just above the still water . . . that it’s somehow safe. People actually come to think that the crocodile isn’t really a crocodile! As long as it isn’t attacking, it isn’t biting, sinking those numerous sharp teeth into flesh, isn’t trashing about trying to drag a helpless victim underwater to eat . . . then it really isn’t a crocodile at all! As long as it lays quietly in the water, then the crocodile isn’t a threat, simply because it isn’t a crocodile. People consider it’s safe to play and bath in the water with no concern for the ‘non-crocodile’ laying quietly out in the water.
Now just how do people come to such a childish simplistic notion?
Sooner or later, of course . . . the non-crocodile stirs, silently pushing it’s way through the water with only the smallest ripples to betray its movement, and of course, the people ignore the warning signs of those ripples. And before you know it, the harmless, not to worry about crocodile is among the people, snapping and biting, crunching down on flesh and bone, dragging off its new meal to enjoy a nice crocodile dinner. And the people are stunned at what happened! Completely baffled over how a crocodile could suddenly, unexpectedly appear out of nowhere to attack them! After all, there wasn’t any crocodiles around, right?
You’re left standing there asking, ‘Now just what was going through their minds!’
As silly as all this sounds, people and governments . . . especially modern governments, do this all the time. But the crocodile isn’t some large horrific reptile living in the water, they are totalitarian states. Countries controlled by repressive totalitarian governments, who are a curse to their people, and often other peoples about the world. It’s phenomenal how nations forget what totalitarian states really are and what they do. Just like that crocodile sleeping peacefully out in the water, its evil looks largely hidden from view, people and nations come to think of it as being harmless and non-threatening. To think of those nations as being just like themselves, only a little more coarse and unsophisticated in manner.
These last few years, this phenomena has become readily apparent with China . . . Red China- Communist China. For years now, the western nations have looked upon China as an emerging nation, advancing rapidly and becoming a modern nation like themselves, putting behind them the millions of their own citizens they murdered with millions more dying from neglect under Moa Zedong and his revolution. There were those warning ripples in the water, stories about secret police, frequent executions and re-education camps. And, of course, Tiananmen Square. But everyone thought that China was past that, and therefore on her way to becoming a modern nation, but without changing over to a modern government. Everything seemed to be going fine, relations with China and the free world becoming closer and closer, but then China began to change, first by seizing some rocks, the island chains of Paracel and Spratly, in the shallows of the South China Sea and claiming the territory as their own. Then they began building up those rocks into small islands to station troops, guns, missiles and warplanes. Then they started demanding that other nations, including the United States, keep their distance, even in international waters, harassing any ships or airplanes who ventured too close, to the point of actually collision with a Chinese fighterjet.
Despite rulings by the international courts that China does not own the islands, China continues it’s belligerent behavior towards any and all who challenges their ownership. This isn’t the only incident of the crocodile awakening. There’s the Uighor or Muslim suppression, China’s extensive expansion into the Third world using massive loans to gain control of small undeveloped nations’ natural resources . . . and now Hong Kong with naked suppression to subjugate the free people of Hong Kong.
And surprise, surprise . . . everyone is shocked that a crocodile is eating people!
Everyone forgot that the totalitarian government of China was still there and unchanged from when they earlier snuffed out millions of lives. Assumed that because the crocodile was peaceful and sleeping, it was no longer a totalitarian state frothed with all the dangers and horrors associated with an outlaw archaean government. No respect or consideration for the individual in or out of China, so like any other outlaw, the government takes and does whatever it wants, for them there is no law . . . they respect no law.
But the crocodile hasn’t bitten yet. Instead they are building the crocodile’s teeth, a massive blue water navy to challenge America plus expanding and modernize both their army and air force. China has publicly stated they intend to dominate the world by 2050, making ripples in the water as the crocodile slips in to enjoy a feast. History continually repeats itself such as Hitler and Chamberlain (peace in our time) while Churchill warned any and all who wouldn’t listen. Not until Germany’s invasion of Poland in 1939 did anyone see the crocodile as it bit deeply into the unprotected flesh of the democracies.
We just never learn our lesson, we always have to learn the hard way.
Right now, and for the next few years, the economic future for the Millennials and Generation-Z is being determined.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
Only the most rabid Trump-hater would deny how dramatically America’s economy has prospered. While many others might concede to the improved economy, they would object to President Trump being the reason for the good times, but many Americans consider the President and his policies, to be the sole reason for America’s return to prosperity. Until the coronavirus, President Trump was considered a ‘shoe in’ for reelection. But in the realm of political dynamics, memories are short with the President’s poll numbers progressively sliding downwards from the pandemic and the need to shut down to save lives. It’s beginning to look like reelection may not be so easy after all, maybe even impossible! This begs the question, what will happen to economic prosperity with a new administration? What economic future does the millennials and generation-Z have, as well as us baby-boomers who depend on a strong stable economy to continue our lives, . . . if there’s no Trump! After all, people on fixed incomes are the first to get clobbered when the economy collapses.
But there’s still hope!
What originally got the President elected was his promise to reform Washington- he would Drain the Swamp. This appealed to many Americans who were so fed up with the continual non-performance of the governments (note plural). They wanted a functional government which would start addressing the problems they face in life. Candidate Trump promised them that . . . he promised he’d drain the Washington swamp and make a government, which catered to the peoples needs and problems, and in turn would revitalize the economy and return the people to prosperity. And he surprised so many of us by doing much of what he promised, unlike so many of the professional politicians who say only what the polls tell them to say to get elected.
As the coming elections started to warm up, it looked like President Trump couldn’t lose, that with the economy going great guns, with so many American’s happy and satisfied with the economy, that he was a shoe-in for a second term. Then a small semi-living bundle of DNA called coronavirus or Covid-19 came out of China as a life threatening pandemic to spread across the world with the blazing speed of a crowned forest fire. And like such a fire, the only option was to set ‘back fires’, and by deliberately causing damage would ultimately limit the total damage. The only way to stop the virus was to shut the economies down across the world. To trade extensive economic damage for minimum virus damage to people. While there are growing numbers who now want to blame the new recession on the President, the measures he took were taken world wide by many nations. It was unavoidable no matter who was president!
But even if there hadn’t been a pandemic and the President is reelected, the swamp is destined to refill. In four years Trump will have to leave, and the chances of getting another outsider, willing to fight the Washington mob, to keep the swamp dry is very doubtful. Things are destine to return to the old statues quo, back to being governed by the same ‘old guard’ as before.
Back on the day of his retirement, Speaker Tip O’Neill, a democrat, stood on the Capital steps and warned about the new generation of representatives coming to Washington, people he called ‘sound biters’, people who were very skilled at giving perfect 15 or 30 second sound bites for the news media. People very skilled at manipulating and using the print and electronic media to cultivate images instead of actually working and solving problems. The well refined technologies of mass media and mass marketing were vigorously applied to the election process erasing those checks and balances so necessary for a modern government to function. We now create our governments using the same exact marketing techniques used to sell tampons, hemorrhoid medications, laxatives and toilet paper. The result is the ability of the Congress to address complex difficult problems has been eroded to the point of being dysfunctional . . . to the discuss of the people.
And the American people have some serious problems on the horizon, which will need the attention of professional problem solvers. Experts in automation and AI (Artificial Intelligence) predict that in 15 to 25 years as much as 50% of the jobs will disappear. (Go Google these three words- Osborne, report, and pdf). ‘Reading the law’ is the education of John Adams, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln, it’s the education from the 16th to the early 19th century. While lawyers are an important and necessary part of society, a law degree doesn’t prepare someone for the 21st century. The bulk of the elected members of the House and Senate are lawyers or political science, which is just a watered down law degree.
Reforming the government means creating an environment to get those kinds of people who have the intellectual skills to analyze and solve complex difficult problems, those problems that more and more Americans are facing with obsolescence and technology displacement. Problems far beyond the abilities of the present members of the Congress. It’s like if you have a lump that keeps growing or an open sore which will not heal. Now do you want a doctor with all the technical degrees required to become a licensed physician . . . and knows what he is doing? Or do you want the old kind of doctor . . . the witch doctors, medicine men, shamans or voodoo priests who dances around the ‘examination room’ naked, shaking a stick at the sky, mumbling magical incantations while sprinkling magical powders to cure your ailment? These shamans and witch doctors are what we are now getting for congressmen and senators. They have only their skills of using mass media and marketing, their version of those ‘magical powders’, of images and illusions. Like the shaman medicine men, our congressmen and senators can only create the images and illusions that your future is ‘well’, so therefore you have nothing to worry about.
The one thing that President Trump’s tenure in office has shown is just how little our representatives in congress can really do, hence why they are constantly bickering and fighting amongst themselves. Why there’s the constant Machiavellian back stabbing posturing, with their only real goal of bringing more power to themselves and their particular party. Never any real concern or activity towards real problems facing so many Americans. It’s so prevalent in our politics I think history, 25 or 50 years from now, will call this the ‘age of the great pretenders’. People are constantly asking, why can’t they do more than just fight like little kids on the playground, why can’t they do something about the problems we are facing, and the answer is: Because they don’t know how to do anything else! So in turn, this has lead to the all too familiar dysfunction of our government.
The only way to resolve this situation is by creating an environment conducive to attracting capable qualified people, twentieth century people who have some real understanding of a high technology world, who have the education and experience and therefore have glean the intellectual, analytical and problem solving skills necessary to make real progress towards the obsolescence that so many Americans now face. This means having four constitutional amendments: 1) Line item veto, 2) Term limits for congressmen and senators, 3) Ban participation in elections, in coin or in kind, unless qualified to vote in the election, 4) Give both House and Senate power to demise federal employees via vote. The amendments are presented in detail at www.peopleobsolete.com by clicking on | The Amendments | on the top menu bar, as well as the problems of government dysfunction by clicking | Our Government’s Abilities | on the same menu bar.
Presently, there isn’t any real acknowledgment of obsolete people and their displacement by machines, let alone any real analysis or problem solving by our congress, which is charged by the Constitution with governing the domestic America arena, while the President is responsible for the international. To have any progress resolving the problems we now face, we need and must have the best and brightest people America has to offer, instead of opportunist of limited abilities who only see congress as a way to enrich themselves. A means to go from rags to riches by living off the people for 20, 30 or 50 years without actually doing anything tangible. We want people with real educations just as we do with our physicians, who we entrust with our lives and health. Presently, we have people who are only skilled with words, and word games do not solve problems, they don’t even add to the solving process. It’s just play . . . just entertainment of illusions and images, the same as stage magicians with their smoke and mirrors.
President Trump has the ability to reform simply by using his social media skills, the power he has developed with Tweeter to ask questions and explore the possibilities for real reform. I’m sure he would be surprised by the number of people drawn to the possibility of real permanent reforms with a return to functionality to give a real government. The President would see that his real goal should be to rally the people around him, as he’s done with his ‘Make America Great Again’ rallies, just by drawing attention to what the people can do to reform our political process. If the American people are rallied to a real common goal, they will do the rest themselves. They will form the local grassroots committees to raise funds and do the door to door political canvassing work to form city and county committees that elect delegates for state conventions, who in turn would have a national constitution convention as provided by our Constitution. Then do the advocating work at state levels to campaign for ratification of each amendment in their state legislative bodies, thus adding the much needed amendments to our Constitution.
Only then will the Millennials and Generation-Z have an economic future by actually draining the swamp.
There is now a great ongoing race between the supermarkets, a race of technologies to see who will fully automate . . . and who will eventually go out of business.
James Lyman BSAE, BSEE, MSSM
It’s not a race to win a trophy or a gold star, it’s a race to develop the machines to fully automate your grocery shopping and close down those ‘dinosaurs’ you are presently shopping in called the supermarket. The machines, like any others of automation, are designed to replace all those workers and cashiers you see whenever you walk into the store. You see, whoever is able to replace those workers with machines will be able to drastically cut their operating cost, and therefore be able to sell their groceries cheaper.
To the right, you see a picture of robots gliding along a matrix of tracks with tote bins or boxes below, so a robot is able to drop something in the box just by parking over it, to ultimately be delivered to a customer. You see five robots in the picture, two with blue tops and three with black. Each has two sets of four wheels, where the robot can raise one set and lower the other to change directions, allowing it to easily go back and forth or up and down the track rows at will.
The totes sit on conveyers, so totes can be moved out from underneath the robots to other conveyers allowing the computer to group totes together for delivery to the customer. If you look closely, you can see tote boxes having multiple items in them. Through the controlling computer, robots know which tote is for which customer’s order, and so they can go to a tote to drop an item in. This method of using robots for sorting is call ‘swarm robots’, and much like a nest of ants, you have a large number of individuals working independent, yet together in a common cause, to get a job done.
Walmart and Kroger are doing extensive work with robotic systems to develop online grocery shopping, which is not only more convenient with less shrinkage than traditional retail stores, but also cheaper, a great incentive for shoppers to use the service. Using human labor to fill grocery orders is much too expensive, so robots are needed that can quickly and accurately fill each person’s grocery order at a minimum cost. These companies tend to be tight lipped about what they’re doing, nevertheless enough has been said to indicate that great progress has been made to bring automated grocery stores to reality. But such research is expensive requiring strong cash reserves to undertake, so the question is, ‘Does HEB have the kind of resources needed to build similar automation?’
The H.E. Butt Grocery Co. of San Antonio, is a long established (1905) grocery retailer that has been very successful over the decades, and now is a large chain of ‘super’ supermarkets across Texas and several adjacent states. Years ago, when Walmart moved in with their super-stores, including grocery, one company official made a snide remark to the newspaper, that HEB should just give up, because Walmart was going to run over HEB. What the official didn’t realize was Walmart’s success came from being so highly automated, and furthermore . . . he didn’t realize that HEB was just as highly automated. Not only did HEB survive Walmart, but it thrived!
Like the other grocery retailers, HEB has a stopgap shopping service where employees drag these blue wire frame carts around the store filling orders by picking items off the shelves for later pickup. Very labor intensive and very expensive, a cost that HEB cannot absorb, so customers must pay five dollars for this custom service. But a quick peruse across the internet turned up pictures, such as the one above, of Kroger and Walmart’s robotic efforts . . . massive expensive technological machines that can automatically fill a person’s grocery shopping list and send it on it’s way without all that expensive manual labor. However, I turned up very little about HEB. Certainly, no pictures of similar robotic warehouses, just news articles about how HEB is implementing a new in-store inventory-control and payment-processing system to enhance store automation, a second-generation autonomous delivery vehicle for robot delivery trials, the opening of a new Austin technology hub plus the hiring of about 1,500 digital technical people. All needed, but far from what the others are already doing to fully automate grocery shopping and ultimately dispense with all those massive labor hungry stores, and thereby becoming one of the survivors of the Great Race.
These Walmart robots are very expensive to develop requiring large numbers of highly educated and skill technologist to implement and make workable. And while HEB is a big company, I’m left wondering if this race may be a little too big for them to compete, especially the money part. Does HEB have the cash reserves to undertake such a massive technological project? Do they have the corporate culture to take the company so far into the twenty-first century? For the last several years, I’ve noticed gaggles of middle and low level managers touring the stores, having conference meetings in the aisles. I have the impression that HEB’s tooth-to-tail ratio is dropping, and bloated management introduces inertia and resistance to new ways and things. Does HEB have plans for such sophisticated robotic technology or are they just a late starter? In a race, and HEB is defiantly in a race for survival, such a late start can be just as fatal as not making the effort. The whole consumer landscape is changing with forecast of a 100,000 retail stores to close in the next five years, so the whole game is changing for everyone at all levels and segments of all markets. Those who are not fleet footed, will be left behind to wither on the vine. It’s happened in the past, so we can expect it to happen again.
The challenges of assimilating new technologies into a business can be daunting, even for small businesses. An example is a favorite Tex-Mex restaurant of mine, El Chaparral of Helotes Texas, which I frequent . . . a family own business since 1972, that has been a very successful business growing over the years. Like so many other restaurants, El Chaparral decided to compensate for lost coronavirus business by offering takeout, and so they hung out a large banner offering takeout service. I was delighted, and several times called in an order on the way out of town . . . only to have no one answer the phone. So, I sat in rather long takeout lines of other restaurants, for many minutes waiting for my food, but as I drove by El Chaparral I’ve found no cars waiting. This didn’t come as a surprise, because I had also gone to their website for their menu, only to find the ‘boob’ they hired to do their website wrote code that only works with play phones! (I say ‘play phone’ because I’m always seeing millennials and generation-Zs sitting on their butts playing with their smart phones while waiting to be replaced by a machine) so therefore, people using real computers couldn’t use their website! This only shows the challenge facing so many non-technology based businesses as they try to quickly assimilate technologies they don’t have skills at. At a time when survival for so many small businesses is in peril, when every sale is desperately needed, they’re at an even greater risk from not being able to quickly assimilate and use technology. You don’t have to be a large corporation to stumble in the world of technology.
Several years ago, some politician was going around, crowing about how he wanted to fundamentally change America, but not being a twentieth century person, didn’t realize there has already been a fundamental change in America . . . and that change didn’t include a large number of Americans. Now that change is becoming readily apparent, as the new social-economic system sluffs off so many people because they are not prepared for the twenty-first century. It’s going to be very hard to address problems in a fair and equitable manner. In addition to those 100,000 stores closing in the next five years, it’s forecast that technology will eliminate up to 50% of American jobs in the next 15 to 25 years. Everywhere, for everyone, the Great Race is on! So . . .
This is not the time for people or businesses to doddle around.
It will be interesting to watch HEB and others as they struggle to find their place in the twenty-first century. As for me, I look forward to foregoing the weekly chore of grocery shopping, irrespective of who wins the grocery race. More to follow.